CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb50211aaaf51546f0d351d624a38bec8be3fe23282868d7b57b5c67d8bf94b21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $653,191
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $802,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,191 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked magic | 25c | 211,589$52,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,094.93 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed MOUZ | 75c | 141,762$106,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,361.73 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +19.4wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked MOUZ | 76c | 50,000$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,000 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked MOUZ | 76c | 30,112$22,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,226.84 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed MOUZ | 75c | 30,000$22,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked magic | 25c | 23,000$5,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,750 | 223 | 54.7%122 W · 101 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed magic | 25c | 20,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed magic | 26c | 20,000$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,157.56 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 75c | 16,620$12,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,124.48 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed magic | 25c | 15,000$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.97 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked magic | 9c | 12,812$1,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120.88 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed magic | 24c | 11,880$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,872.55 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked magic | 21c | 11,000$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,309.99 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked MOUZ | 76c | 10,000$7,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.66 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked magic | 28c | 9,021$2,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,525.77 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed MOUZ | 72c | 8,752$6,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,492.52 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed magic | 33c | 6,146$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.23 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed magic | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked MOUZ | 76c | 5,371$4,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.97 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed MOUZ | 78c | 5,325$4,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.65 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed MOUZ | 75c | 5,306$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.46 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed MOUZ | 78c | 4,437$3,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.75 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked MOUZ | 76c | 4,321$3,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.05 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed magic | 24c | 3,867$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.06 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked magic | 25c | 3,226$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed MOUZ | 75c | 3,200$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed magic | 26c | 2,885$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed magic | 25c | 2,800$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 77c | 2,722$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.11 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked MOUZ | 76c | 2,632$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.58 | 204 | 58.3%119 W · 85 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…dc82backed MOUZ | 75c | 2,460$1,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3324…c3c1backed magic | 25c | 2,400$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ | 70c | 2,244$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.61 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked magic | 26c | 2,043$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.67 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…ac7cbacked magic | 12c | 1,959$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 23c | 1,878$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.62 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fa…4a86backed magic | 6c | 1,850$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed magic | 24c | 1,787$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.56 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77cd…338bbacked magic | 5c | 1,773$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a9…91dcbacked MOUZ | 75c | 1,733$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.22 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed magic | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344e…019ebacked magic | 1c | 1,590$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 100 | 14%14 W · 86 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48b8…4b69backed MOUZ | 74c | 1,502$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.42 | 202 | 49%99 W · 103 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed MOUZ | 74c | 1,500$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.99 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed magic | 26c | 1,402$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.59 | 552 | 36.2%200 W · 352 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed MOUZ | 76c | 1,315$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.3 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed MOUZ | 79c | 1,253$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.16 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked magic | 25c | 1,228$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked magic | 19c | 1,200$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.85 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed magic | 7c | 1,187$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 79c | 1,146$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.67 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4a…afd7backed magic | 21c | 1,135$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.91 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked magic | 24c | 1,120$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…84e7backed magic | 9c | 1,098$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ | 79c | 1,063$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.27 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed magic | 25c | 1,062$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.42 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked magic | 19c | 1,054$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.9 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…989abacked magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa972…9817backed MOUZ | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed magic | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa538…12c3backed magic | 21c | 999.99$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MOUZ | 75c | 945.95$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.07 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbd…fcdabacked MOUZ | 75c | 941.79$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.45 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed66…4d20backed MOUZ | 75c | 890$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.5 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked magic | 8c | 874.54$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.16 | 483 | 19%92 W · 391 L | -65.4wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed magic | 25c | 846.6$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.65 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed magic | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed magic | 25c | 785.46$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.37 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed magic | 25c | 777$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.25 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa18d…9b51backed MOUZ | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…4f71backed magic | 2c | 750$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…0619backed MOUZ | 76c | 725.19$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfee…ed1fbacked magic | 11c | 706.26$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.33 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9c27…cb5bbacked MOUZ | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed magic | 25c | 700$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 358 | 61.7%221 W · 137 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2efa…8a01backed MOUZ | 74c | 677.02$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.03 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2662…3f84backed MOUZ | 75c | 666$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 209 | 58.9%123 W · 86 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606d…1aafbacked MOUZ | 76c | 657.89$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.89 | 130 | 65.4%85 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed MOUZ | 76c | 655.92$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.42 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked MOUZ | 80c | 650.32$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.32 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked MOUZ | 79c | 632.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.91 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed MOUZ | 76c | 632.01$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.68 | 91 | 38.5%35 W · 56 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed magic | 10c | 612.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.25 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…84ecbacked magic | 25c | 607.76$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.94 | 488 | 45.7%223 W · 265 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 76c | 607.21$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed magic | 17c | 605.09$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.59 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ | 76c | 600$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed magic | 4c | 571.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 69 | 15.9%11 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed MOUZ | 73c | 547.95$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.95 | 524 | 56.3%295 W · 229 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed magic | 26c | 540.85$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.62 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked magic | 25c | 505.86$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.47 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4b…5345backed MOUZ | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc906…6e03backed magic | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed MOUZ | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 26c | 500$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked MOUZ | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04e3…69d1backed MOUZ | 74c | 499.99$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.