TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$185,542
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$232,740

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,542 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf070…ac55backed magic24c14,777$3,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,488.8233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked magic28c14,009$3,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,909.4241340.2%166 W · 247 L-2.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed magic25c10,137$2,552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,551.869443.6%41 W · 53 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ74c9,554$7,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.192,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ74c8,410$6,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,191.891,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed magic21c7,172$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.1726256.1%147 W · 115 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x983c…ac7cbacked magic21c6,234$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.441952.6%10 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed magic21c5,000$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.1612653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa503…c5b9backed MOUZ79c4,320$3,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.22240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ72c4,135$2,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1474,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…80c3backed MOUZ79c3,803$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$803.3933359.8%199 W · 134 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe72b…3c9cbacked MOUZ78c3,702$2,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.4628657.7%165 W · 121 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed magic25c3,440$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86038546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked magic9c3,109$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.3465351.9%339 W · 314 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked magic22c3,001$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.2161228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked magic11c2,702$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28553737.1%199 W · 338 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed magic22c2,224$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.112,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked MOUZ76c2,155$1,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.843,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2067…7350backed MOUZ76c2,098$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.9427657.6%159 W · 117 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed MOUZ79c2,025$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.321,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed MOUZ78c1,650$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36322564.9%146 W · 79 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed magic22c1,500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33053746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked magic31c1,350$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.51,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2744…7e85backed MOUZ77c1,300$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.921752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ77c1,200$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.072,67247.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L-31.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed MOUZ80c1,154$921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.9943544.6%194 W · 241 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed magic19c1,147$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.721,11054.2%602 W · 508 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d8e…3734backed MOUZ75c1,125$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.52683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ77c1,092$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.1645859%270 W · 188 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd528…a2d2backed MOUZ78c1,072$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23818056.7%102 W · 78 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ78c1,042$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.731,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ73c1,016$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.735,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e86…fce6backed MOUZ68c967.69$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.592425%6 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ79c947.47$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.344,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed MOUZ77c910.2$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.8525634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed magic28c854.99$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.485,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed MOUZ78c850.01$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18712651.6%65 W · 61 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked MOUZ79c800$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16819757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked MOUZ76c790.02$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.029347.3%44 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ73c784.05$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.731,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed MOUZ78c755.34$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.0210044%44 W · 56 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed magic16c719.96$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.71,04139.9%415 W · 626 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked magic31c710.5$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.471,79059.2%1,060 W · 730 L+106.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x77ac…1bf6backed MOUZ79c677.62$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.328261.3%173 W · 109 L+13.1wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+4.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc882…0662backed magic22c608$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.1213333.1%44 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed MOUZ73c559$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.5618543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x254b…e8abbacked magic27c536$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.723043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed MOUZ78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8213568.9%93 W · 42 L+14.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+15.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed magic19c500$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.672,45644.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L-67.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed magic22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11014950.3%75 W · 74 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ79c500$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10514257%81 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ72c437.68$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.912,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56fe…9fe1backed magic9c424.28$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.192714.8%4 W · 23 L-3.8wins-0.14per pick29cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked magic25c403.51$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8863541.9%266 W · 369 L+10.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed magic23c388.18$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2823343.8%102 W · 131 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x179e…ebe8backed magic6c370$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.2728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked magic18c366.42$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.895,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb575…d35bbacked magic23c356.31$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.9510938.5%42 W · 67 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x765f…1508backed MOUZ72c341.43$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.0516761.7%103 W · 64 L-0.5wins0.00per pick62cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed magic27c333.33$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9021745.2%98 W · 119 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed MOUZ76c333$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9238950.4%196 W · 193 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed MOUZ77c323.17$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.0821148.8%103 W · 108 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked MOUZ78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.518360.2%50 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed magic23c305.87$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7037232.5%121 W · 251 L-14.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec5a…cd56backed magic25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7511943.7%52 W · 67 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee80…f34ebacked MOUZ70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7135460.7%215 W · 139 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed magic21c282.54$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3350947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic20c282.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.725,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed magic10c280.84$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.782,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked magic26c275.95$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.7540349.1%198 W · 205 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ77c271.21$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.956,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c07…08c5backed MOUZ78c265.73$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.465438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bfe…1220backed MOUZ73c264.65$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.659266.3%61 W · 31 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x846c…0366backed MOUZ79c253.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1618963.5%120 W · 69 L+0.7wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x577c…2a43backed magic23c250$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.4666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+51.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x22c7…3e23backed magic7c250$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.514037.1%52 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f17…7035backed MOUZ79c236.37$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6445565.9%300 W · 155 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdbe…b6d8backed magic7c220$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1614929.5%44 W · 105 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed MOUZ76c200$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4830559.3%181 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed magic9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1883643.5%364 W · 472 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked magic9c199.79$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.951,65932.7%542 W · 1,117 L-49.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ73c187.4$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.62,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed magic27c165.16$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1982142.5%349 W · 472 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…6e77backed magic26c140.73$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5925749%126 W · 131 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked magic13c140.17$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.943,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb4ec…1cc8backed magic23c139.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326428.1%18 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-27.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed magic23c139.13$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3210442.3%44 W · 60 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4c2…a16ebacked MOUZ77c136.91$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9148566.2%321 W · 164 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked MOUZ77c130$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.92347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed MOUZ78c125.64$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.642548%12 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.15per pick63cpaid-27%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c70…8b02backed MOUZ80c118.68$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.742100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…40e8backed magic34c117.65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4015134.4%52 W · 99 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c2…45b2backed magic20c111.63$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9540141.6%167 W · 234 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed magic14c103.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9864046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0702…e5eabacked magic21c101.6$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4518541.6%77 W · 108 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed magic22c101.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.792,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed MOUZ78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2210252%53 W · 49 L-12.2wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-21.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xae90…9a56backed MOUZ77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238740.2%35 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe692…ea10backed magic13c100$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8217617%30 W · 146 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-27.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked magic27c92.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2554743.7%239 W · 308 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.