CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24b0af47223fa8c6c9e59e3e08184d6543539a721518c23a192185db1ec02c2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,542
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $232,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,542 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed magic | 24c | 14,777$3,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,488.82 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked magic | 28c | 14,009$3,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,909.42 | 413 | 40.2%166 W · 247 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed magic | 25c | 10,137$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.86 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ | 74c | 9,554$7,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.19 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 74c | 8,410$6,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,191.89 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed magic | 21c | 7,172$1,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.17 | 262 | 56.1%147 W · 115 L | +19.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…ac7cbacked magic | 21c | 6,234$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.44 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed magic | 21c | 5,000$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.16 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa503…c5b9backed MOUZ | 79c | 4,320$3,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 72c | 4,135$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,147 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed MOUZ | 79c | 3,803$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.39 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked MOUZ | 78c | 3,702$2,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.46 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed magic | 25c | 3,440$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860 | 385 | 46.2%178 W · 207 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked magic | 9c | 3,109$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.34 | 653 | 51.9%339 W · 314 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked magic | 22c | 3,001$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.21 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked magic | 11c | 2,702$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed magic | 22c | 2,224$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.11 | 2,092 | 41.6%871 W · 1,221 L | -50.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MOUZ | 76c | 2,155$1,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.84 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed MOUZ | 76c | 2,098$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.94 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed MOUZ | 79c | 2,025$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.32 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed MOUZ | 78c | 1,650$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363 | 225 | 64.9%146 W · 79 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed magic | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked magic | 31c | 1,350$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.5 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2744…7e85backed MOUZ | 77c | 1,300$1,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.92 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked MOUZ | 77c | 1,200$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.07 | 2,672 | 47.8%1,277 W · 1,395 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed MOUZ | 80c | 1,154$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.99 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed magic | 19c | 1,147$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.72 | 1,110 | 54.2%602 W · 508 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…3734backed MOUZ | 75c | 1,125$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.52 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 77c | 1,092$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.16 | 458 | 59%270 W · 188 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd528…a2d2backed MOUZ | 78c | 1,072$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ | 78c | 1,042$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.73 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 73c | 1,016$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.73 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…fce6backed MOUZ | 68c | 967.69$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.59 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed MOUZ | 79c | 947.47$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.34 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed MOUZ | 77c | 910.2$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 28c | 854.99$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.48 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed MOUZ | 78c | 850.01$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked MOUZ | 79c | 800$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked MOUZ | 76c | 790.02$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.02 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 73c | 784.05$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.73 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed MOUZ | 78c | 755.34$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed magic | 16c | 719.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked magic | 31c | 710.5$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.47 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed MOUZ | 79c | 677.62$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.3 | 282 | 61.3%173 W · 109 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed magic | 22c | 608$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed MOUZ | 73c | 559$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.56 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x254b…e8abbacked magic | 27c | 536$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.72 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbb…7e44backed MOUZ | 78c | 512.82$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.82 | 135 | 68.9%93 W · 42 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed magic | 19c | 500$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 2,456 | 44.5%1,093 W · 1,363 L | -67.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed magic | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked MOUZ | 72c | 437.68$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.91 | 2,605 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…9fe1backed magic | 9c | 424.28$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked magic | 25c | 403.51$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.88 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed magic | 23c | 388.18$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 233 | 43.8%102 W · 131 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179e…ebe8backed magic | 6c | 370$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked magic | 18c | 366.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.89 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb575…d35bbacked magic | 23c | 356.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.95 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed MOUZ | 72c | 341.43$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed magic | 27c | 333.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 217 | 45.2%98 W · 119 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed MOUZ | 76c | 333$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 389 | 50.4%196 W · 193 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed MOUZ | 77c | 323.17$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 211 | 48.8%103 W · 108 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…c25fbacked MOUZ | 78c | 320.51$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed magic | 23c | 305.87$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec5a…cd56backed magic | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 119 | 43.7%52 W · 67 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked MOUZ | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed magic | 21c | 282.54$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 20c | 282.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.72 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed magic | 10c | 280.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked magic | 26c | 275.95$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 403 | 49.1%198 W · 205 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 77c | 271.21$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.95 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c07…08c5backed MOUZ | 78c | 265.73$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.46 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed MOUZ | 73c | 264.65$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…0366backed MOUZ | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 189 | 63.5%120 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x577c…2a43backed magic | 23c | 250$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.4 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed magic | 7c | 250$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed MOUZ | 79c | 236.37$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.64 | 455 | 65.9%300 W · 155 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…b6d8backed magic | 7c | 220$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed MOUZ | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 305 | 59.3%181 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed magic | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 836 | 43.5%364 W · 472 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked magic | 9c | 199.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed MOUZ | 73c | 187.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.6 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed magic | 27c | 165.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.19 | 821 | 42.5%349 W · 472 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed magic | 26c | 140.73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 257 | 49%126 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked magic | 13c | 140.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed magic | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 64 | 28.1%18 W · 46 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed magic | 23c | 139.13$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c2…a16ebacked MOUZ | 77c | 136.91$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 485 | 66.2%321 W · 164 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked MOUZ | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed MOUZ | 78c | 125.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -27%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…8b02backed MOUZ | 80c | 118.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…40e8backed magic | 34c | 117.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 151 | 34.4%52 W · 99 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed magic | 20c | 111.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed magic | 14c | 103.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked magic | 21c | 101.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed magic | 22c | 101.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed MOUZ | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae90…9a56backed MOUZ | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed magic | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked magic | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 547 | 43.7%239 W · 308 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.