CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9ac570e7d10d8ef8ad6a0b24dd475004aaaa6fe14a2d6d2839d1f7c4e6fc56d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,303
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,909
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,303 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 59c | 3,499$2,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.33 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 41c | 3,039$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.22 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 38c | 997.9$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.35 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Over | 34c | 963.17$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.52 | 313 | 45%141 W · 172 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 867.83$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.55 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa162…479dbacked Over | 41c | 848.39$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.84 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 59c | 554.27$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.25 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Over | 41c | 470.06$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.78 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 40c | 230.48$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed Over | 43c | 185.14$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 16c | 168.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 62c | 151.37$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.52 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc299…b630backed Over | 41c | 138.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 75c | 135.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 58c | 114$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.34 | 200 | 55%110 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 60c | 107.6$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.03 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Under | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 17c | 94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd95…52fbbacked Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Under | 55c | 68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 582 | 54.3%316 W · 266 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa06…74c3backed Under | 76c | 65.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6195…388abacked Under | 58c | 65$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Under | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 29c | 53.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 340 | 36.5%124 W · 216 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Under | 58c | 45.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1d…7ff3backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…8d38backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 115 | 61.7%71 W · 44 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 60c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Under | 58c | 36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 140 | 55%77 W · 63 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x949c…ab2cbacked Over | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -6.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Over | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Over | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed Under | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3d…58f5backed Under | 59c | 28.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 378 | 55.3%209 W · 169 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 42c | 27.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82a…db8dbacked Over | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -71.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…febcbacked Under | 77c | 18.75$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…9646backed Under | 59c | 17.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 220 | 59.1%130 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef1…bd5ebacked Under | 79c | 13.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.