CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27f3a897299a2c287f8bebc9f74ea3145c9f1a865328461e6ab797aa4954cf31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed magic | 35c | 15,051$5,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,283.33 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MOUZ | 71c | 7,256$5,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.59 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed MOUZ | 70c | 6,763$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,060.37 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed MOUZ | 64c | 6,555$4,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,359.86 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed magic | 35c | 5,717$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.44 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked magic | 51c | 4,394$2,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.11 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…ac7cbacked magic | 25c | 4,135$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.35 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MOUZ | 57c | 3,998$2,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720.22 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f5…f3b5backed MOUZ | 64c | 3,342$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,203.04 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -7.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked magic | 18c | 3,258$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.34 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed MOUZ | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.52 | 333 | 59.8%199 W · 134 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed MOUZ | 59c | 2,926$1,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,188.29 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…3c9cbacked MOUZ | 67c | 2,100$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.81 | 286 | 57.7%165 W · 121 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked magic | 35c | 2,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.98 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed magic | 36c | 1,647$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593 | 209 | 46.9%98 W · 111 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…82c1backed MOUZ | 67c | 1,528$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.48 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked magic | 36c | 1,466$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.44 | 395 | 48.6%192 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked magic | 36c | 1,350$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.76 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed MOUZ | 66c | 1,300$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed MOUZ | 80c | 1,244$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.67 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked magic | 23c | 1,200$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked magic | 36c | 1,200$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.38 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 63c | 1,185$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.63 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked magic | 35c | 1,142$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed magic | 15c | 1,141$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.43 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed magic | 36c | 1,120$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked magic | 35c | 1,016$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.27 | 558 | 43.5%243 W · 315 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed magic | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed magic | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed magic | 17c | 980$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.29 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -21%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed MOUZ | 73c | 813.16$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.6 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked magic | 40c | 812.61$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.25 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed MOUZ | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed magic | 33c | 757.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.03 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked magic | 16c | 723.92$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed magic | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed MOUZ | 66c | 692.54$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.54 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed magic | 4c | 631$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked magic | 12c | 621.96$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked magic | 24c | 615.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked magic | 12c | 585.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked magic | 10c | 571.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 280 | 37.9%106 W · 174 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77ac…1bf6backed MOUZ | 65c | 539.11$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.69 | 279 | 61.3%171 W · 108 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed magic | 5c | 516$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked MOUZ | 78c | 512.47$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed magic | 35c | 508$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.8 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed magic | 33c | 507.57$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.07 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed magic | 38c | 502.34$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed MOUZ | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked MOUZ | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked MOUZ | 65c | 499.99$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed magic | 23c | 483$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.7 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed magic | 24c | 460$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed MOUZ | 65c | 456.92$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.92 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed magic | 40c | 454.75$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.41 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed magic | 5c | 423.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked magic | 37c | 420.49$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked MOUZ | 61c | 404.3$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.04 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed MOUZ | 66c | 377.65$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 167 | 61.7%103 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked MOUZ | 74c | 363.34$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.34 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed magic | 27c | 321.36$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed magic | 34c | 312.61$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…2fc7backed magic | 36c | 312.08$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 434 | 42.2%183 W · 251 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0c…1249backed magic | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 183 | 38.8%71 W · 112 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…6163backed MOUZ | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 112 | 65.2%73 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked MOUZ | 60c | 299.65$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.65 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed magic | 35c | 288.57$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed magic | 42c | 285.1$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.74 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9227…7cedbacked magic | 36c | 284$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.24 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed magic | 33c | 276.79$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67c4…f0a4backed MOUZ | 58c | 249.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked MOUZ | 76c | 249.98$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…2120backed MOUZ | 62c | 247.33$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked magic | 16c | 247$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed magic | 31c | 245.19$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.01 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed magic | 25c | 244.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked magic | 19c | 203$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed magic | 21c | 202.77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b61…c97fbacked magic | 7c | 201.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9859…1650backed magic | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed magic | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked MOUZ | 54c | 197$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.07 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed magic | 35c | 184.35$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.67 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95d9…4846backed MOUZ | 67c | 179.1$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2b…0829backed magic | 24c | 176.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed magic | 7c | 172.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked magic | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed magic | 36c | 153.67$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.06 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…6a07backed MOUZ | 66c | 151.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.24 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed magic | 35c | 150.96$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5e…67c5backed magic | 35c | 146.31$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.21 | 305 | 27.5%84 W · 221 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed MOUZ | 73c | 142.47$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed MOUZ | 65c | 135.47$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed magic | 35c | 130$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 167 | 41.9%70 W · 97 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a8…9c69backed MOUZ | 65c | 125.45$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.02 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae35…5dd3backed magic | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 239 | 40.2%96 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed MOUZ | 65c | 116.04$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd11…67b1backed MOUZ | 69c | 101.45$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed magic | 37c | 100.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)MOUZ won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.