TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MOUZof MOUZ, magic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,585
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,585 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03f8…d85abacked magic43c7,602$3,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2506464.1%41 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ57c5,460$3,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,325.713,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed magic50c5,054$2,548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,547.5310935.8%39 W · 70 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b3…b3a2backed MOUZ47c4,107$1,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,182.2718547%87 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked magic53c3,300$1,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74913844.2%61 W · 77 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e62…f6ffbacked MOUZ50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007454.1%40 W · 34 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed MOUZ49c2,683$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,368.417450%37 W · 37 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed magic51c2,344$1,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,195.434156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ59c1,456$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.312,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed magic53c1,344$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.3423852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed magic50c1,238$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8467041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked MOUZ50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60027658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed magic54c999.95$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.9846749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked magic51c998.94$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.91,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe36c…a856backed MOUZ47c933.4$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.758637.2%32 W · 54 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked magic53c901.04$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf38…848bbacked magic53c776.99$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.1412950.4%65 W · 64 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972f…65bdbacked MOUZ49c759.18$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.1839157.5%225 W · 166 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ55c751.73$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.2835341.6%147 W · 206 L-28.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c70…9a6cbacked MOUZ49c714.29$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.295137.3%19 W · 32 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked magic53c682.81$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.8947147.3%223 W · 248 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ47c610.55$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.445,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ff…abd0backed MOUZ46c554.97$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.6838650.8%196 W · 190 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ49c512.36$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.31,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37a1…bedfbacked MOUZ47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26510644.3%47 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed magic51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2552934.5%10 W · 19 L-5.7wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-39.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked MOUZ47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26576748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x041b…d3ebbacked MOUZ48c475.51$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.5131451.6%162 W · 152 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e9…b13abacked magic51c450$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.519954.3%108 W · 91 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed magic53c444.81$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.752,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x493a…0bd2backed MOUZ46c434.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.782437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked MOUZ48c413.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.553034.7%184 W · 346 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89eb…cff9backed MOUZ49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1636450.3%183 W · 181 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e48…6158backed MOUZ49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.1638052.6%200 W · 180 L+0.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked magic53c399.98$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.9994645.8%433 W · 513 L+18.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bfe…1220backed MOUZ51c379.15$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.999266.3%61 W · 31 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed magic51c370.3$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.3433237%123 W · 209 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed magic52c312$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4938848.5%188 W · 200 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed magic52c290.57$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.0925634.4%88 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed magic51c286.11$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.852,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed magic55c273.72$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15033354.4%181 W · 152 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfcc6…8704backed MOUZ47c266.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.062268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+39.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed MOUZ46c258.92$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.9644343.3%192 W · 251 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf37…47fcbacked MOUZ47c250$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.58942.7%38 W · 51 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…7e11backed MOUZ48c249.99$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9955941%229 W · 330 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed MOUZ45c222.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.6525252.8%133 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b4…2ce6backed MOUZ47c218.69$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.3529757.6%171 W · 126 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed MOUZ46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.3914044.3%62 W · 78 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…0d2ebacked MOUZ47c210$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.358343.6%254 W · 329 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5874…64c3backed MOUZ48c208.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.274438.6%17 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7e3f…d4bfbacked MOUZ49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027337%27 W · 46 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x444e…1a78backed magic52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1044042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe337…1f6fbacked MOUZ47c199.99$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9926341.1%108 W · 155 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed magic52c188.04$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7838452.3%201 W · 183 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed magic19c187.15$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5612653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7201…b40ebacked MOUZ47c186.21$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.692254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed magic55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10098856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb41e…db27backed magic54c166.67$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$909444.7%42 W · 52 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb311…a72dbacked magic51c156.86$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809443.6%41 W · 53 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x03c7…22f2backed magic51c156.39$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7616650.6%84 W · 82 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6983…88c3backed MOUZ47c150.41$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7214443.1%62 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed MOUZ45c146.46$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.951,03839.9%414 W · 624 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc59f…954ebacked MOUZ47c136.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4321653.2%115 W · 101 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed magic53c132.76$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0280740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4dd…4f27backed magic48c131.08$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.9250947%239 W · 270 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed MOUZ46c119.57$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.5750050.6%253 W · 247 L+2.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed magic52c114.62$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.67454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78fd…4b88backed magic54c111.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+22.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8490…ac46backed magic55c108.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606144.3%27 W · 34 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9345…0afbbacked MOUZ46c102.17$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1715363.4%97 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed magic53c100.9$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.0919939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed MOUZ49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5134742.9%149 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x989e…6529backed MOUZ48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213040%52 W · 78 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf98b…57bbbacked MOUZ68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3238157.7%220 W · 161 L-1.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e35…fe8cbacked MOUZ49c99.18$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.581963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a18…2ef0backed magic55c91.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024055.8%134 W · 106 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29db…19c3backed MOUZ48c88.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7812041.7%50 W · 70 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed MOUZ47c85.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2635148.1%169 W · 182 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked magic32c84.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed magic54c80$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.265946.6%307 W · 352 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf7d8…e2e8backed MOUZ46c73.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.914755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked MOUZ45c71.44$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2959839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5011…94b4backed MOUZ47c68.09$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.0949941.7%208 W · 291 L+2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked magic53c67$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5154348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62d5…bc0cbacked MOUZ48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.526457.2%151 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf88b…0ed2backed MOUZ49c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.623354.5%127 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed MOUZ64c55.77$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.921,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed magic53c50.23$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6999148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9bf…8ec8backed MOUZ47c42.55$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5532357.6%186 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b25…10aabacked MOUZ49c42.14$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4985054.4%462 W · 388 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ff…b4dabacked MOUZ48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.673767.6%25 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked MOUZ47c40.64$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5466753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7d9…c572backed MOUZ62c40.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3218750.8%95 W · 92 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed MOUZ47c39.39$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.71,36566.3%905 W · 460 L+76.1wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9e2…bd26backed magic43c37.92$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.222568%17 W · 8 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick60cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c86…7effbacked magic53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-33.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa820…2dcebacked magic55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016946.2%78 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53c5…7f34backed magic51c35.29$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1840%0 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x41e6…d3a6backed MOUZ47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.91922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-46.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed MOUZ65c31.8$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.011,00355.7%559 W · 444 L+24.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.