CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6558d4492bb4e2fa4624dbf0233d86e24c5e864ab3dd1fd827673f8a8b54e64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZof MOUZ, magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,177
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03f8…d85abacked magic | 43c | 7,602$3,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,250 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked MOUZ | 57c | 5,460$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,325.71 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…1183backed magic | 50c | 5,054$2,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.53 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b3…b3a2backed MOUZ | 47c | 4,107$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,182.27 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf6…0cbdbacked magic | 53c | 3,300$1,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e62…f6ffbacked MOUZ | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed MOUZ | 49c | 2,683$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.41 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed magic | 51c | 2,344$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,195.43 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked MOUZ | 59c | 1,456$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.31 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed magic | 53c | 1,344$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.34 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed magic | 50c | 1,238$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.84 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked MOUZ | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed magic | 54c | 999.95$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.98 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked magic | 51c | 998.94$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.9 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe36c…a856backed MOUZ | 47c | 933.4$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.75 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked magic | 53c | 901.04$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf38…848bbacked magic | 53c | 776.99$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.14 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked MOUZ | 49c | 759.18$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.18 | 391 | 57.5%225 W · 166 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked MOUZ | 55c | 751.73$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.28 | 353 | 41.6%147 W · 206 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 714.29$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.29 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked magic | 53c | 682.81$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.89 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MOUZ | 47c | 610.55$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.44 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed MOUZ | 46c | 554.97$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.68 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked MOUZ | 49c | 512.36$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.3 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked MOUZ | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e9…1c08backed magic | 51c | 500$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -5.7wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked MOUZ | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked MOUZ | 48c | 475.51$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.51 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…b13abacked magic | 51c | 450$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.5 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed magic | 53c | 444.81$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.75 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x493a…0bd2backed MOUZ | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…d10dbacked MOUZ | 48c | 413.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 530 | 34.7%184 W · 346 L | -32.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed MOUZ | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed MOUZ | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked magic | 53c | 399.98$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.99 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfe…1220backed MOUZ | 51c | 379.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.99 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed magic | 51c | 370.3$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.34 | 332 | 37%123 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed magic | 52c | 312$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.49 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed magic | 52c | 290.57$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 256 | 34.4%88 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed magic | 51c | 286.11$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed magic | 55c | 273.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 333 | 54.4%181 W · 152 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc6…8704backed MOUZ | 47c | 266.06$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…1513backed MOUZ | 46c | 258.92$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.96 | 443 | 43.3%192 W · 251 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…47fcbacked MOUZ | 47c | 250$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.5 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed MOUZ | 48c | 249.99$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.99 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffb…df76backed MOUZ | 45c | 222.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.65 | 252 | 52.8%133 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…2ce6backed MOUZ | 47c | 218.69$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.35 | 297 | 57.6%171 W · 126 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed MOUZ | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked MOUZ | 47c | 210$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.3 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5874…64c3backed MOUZ | 48c | 208.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.27 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked MOUZ | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x444e…1a78backed magic | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…1f6fbacked MOUZ | 47c | 199.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.99 | 263 | 41.1%108 W · 155 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed magic | 52c | 188.04$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed magic | 19c | 187.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…b40ebacked MOUZ | 47c | 186.21$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.69 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed magic | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed magic | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb311…a72dbacked magic | 51c | 156.86$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed magic | 51c | 156.39$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6983…88c3backed MOUZ | 47c | 150.41$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.72 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed MOUZ | 45c | 146.46$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.95 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…954ebacked MOUZ | 47c | 136.66$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 216 | 53.2%115 W · 101 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed magic | 53c | 132.76$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.02 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4dd…4f27backed magic | 48c | 131.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 509 | 47%239 W · 270 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed MOUZ | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed magic | 52c | 114.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78fd…4b88backed magic | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed magic | 55c | 108.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…0afbbacked MOUZ | 46c | 102.17$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.17 | 153 | 63.4%97 W · 56 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x911f…5ed0backed magic | 53c | 100.9$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed MOUZ | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed MOUZ | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked MOUZ | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e35…fe8cbacked MOUZ | 49c | 99.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.58 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed magic | 55c | 91.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29db…19c3backed MOUZ | 48c | 88.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed MOUZ | 47c | 85.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked magic | 32c | 84.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed magic | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…e2e8backed MOUZ | 46c | 73.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked MOUZ | 45c | 71.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed MOUZ | 47c | 68.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.09 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked magic | 53c | 67$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.51 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d5…bc0cbacked MOUZ | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 264 | 57.2%151 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed MOUZ | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed MOUZ | 64c | 55.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.92 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed magic | 53c | 50.23$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed MOUZ | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 323 | 57.6%186 W · 137 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked MOUZ | 49c | 42.14$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ff…b4dabacked MOUZ | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked MOUZ | 47c | 40.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d9…c572backed MOUZ | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 187 | 50.8%95 W · 92 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed MOUZ | 47c | 39.39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 1,365 | 66.3%905 W · 460 L | +76.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…bd26backed magic | 43c | 37.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.22 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…7effbacked magic | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa820…2dcebacked magic | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…7f34backed magic | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…d3a6backed MOUZ | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed MOUZ | 65c | 31.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana PlayoffsMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 1 WinnerMOUZ won
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs magic - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.