Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Green Bay Phoenix vs. Iona Gaels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdad33b3e79b7a6c06b5c035431d5096f01759c60ee57b634d67b70971f1c5bdf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Green Bay Phoenixof Green Bay Phoenix, Iona Gaels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,078
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Iona Gaels | 17c | 1,547$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Iona Gaels | 76c | 1,277$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.69 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Green Bay Phoenix | 23c | 681$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.37 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Iona Gaels | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 23c | 440$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.88 | 529 | 28.4%150 W · 379 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb29…358ebacked Iona Gaels | 62c | 346.38$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 70cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Green Bay Phoenix | 24c | 337.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.69 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb47b…c6b1backed Iona Gaels | 40c | 301.98$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Green Bay Phoenix | 43c | 242.73$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.36 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Iona Gaels | 12c | 199$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 26c | 194.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.84 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d04…cfc5backed Iona Gaels | 68c | 170.7$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 73cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Iona Gaels | 65c | 153.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Green Bay Phoenix | 60c | 125.26$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.28 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Green Bay Phoenix | 27c | 116$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…fd7fbacked Iona Gaels | 78c | 103.88$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.03 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Iona Gaels | 43c | 103.72$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Iona Gaels | 73c | 82.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa25e…2483backed Green Bay Phoenix | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Iona Gaels | 61c | 45.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Iona Gaels | 33c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe141…ea2dbacked Iona Gaels | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed06…f663backed Iona Gaels | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Iona Gaels | 72c | 24.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef05…9cdfbacked Iona Gaels | 73c | 23$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.2wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Iona Gaels | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Iona Gaels | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Iona Gaelsthis page
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 149.5Over won
- Green Bay Phoenix vs. Iona Gaels: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Iona Gaels (-7.5)Green Bay Phoenix won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.