TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$112,988
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$122,029

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $112,988 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No42c21,608$9,067 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,066.726,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No52c12,142$6,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,260.979650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes68c10,325$6,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,352.093644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes61c9,265$5,698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,567.0920750.2%104 W · 103 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No35c8,646$2,991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,991.3335758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No37c8,621$3,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,186.144,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes45c8,620$3,911 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,708.874456.8%25 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes64c8,280$5,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,995.6220039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed No40c4,058$1,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,620.325042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes65c4,000$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4006650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes52c3,673$1,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,779.361241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes68c3,521$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,124.516150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No34c3,234$1,087 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,087.0531655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes58c3,007$1,746 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,260.3118958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes58c2,541$1,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,069.543345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes63c2,500$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.9920646.1%95 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes64c2,242$1,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.8561441.2%253 W · 361 L-27.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No39c1,853$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$730.130851.3%158 W · 150 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77fb…3e17backed Yes67c1,493$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.542544%11 W · 14 L-4.4wins-0.18per pick62cpaid-30.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x151f…807dbacked Yes56c1,383$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.71656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No36c1,161$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.184617.4%8 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No44c1,079$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474.7351542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd95…e042backed Yes59c824.21$486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.931464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No40c800$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32330149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57af…1a28backed Yes65c769.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.231250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Yes57c658.75$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.2610031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No34c633.57$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.61,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No33c500.68$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.2623920.9%50 W · 189 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4d5…5696backed No62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.95425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-62.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x712a…8ef9backed Yes66c444.93$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.931457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No58c405$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.510044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x947a…a823backed Yes71c353.15$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes49c350$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.255646.4%26 W · 30 L-7.9wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2c1b…adcdbacked No59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200850%4 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked No69c304$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.2717153.8%92 W · 79 L+10.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No32c300$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9690751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d13…a252backed Yes38c280$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.61030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-38.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No44c258.51$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.862227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e95…9d8cbacked Yes65c234$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.9955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No59c232.37$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.282737%10 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74c7…9ae7backed Yes73c215.74$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.38475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97b5…42f9backed Yes37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12612746.5%59 W · 68 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x651a…a2ccbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.446056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c5c…05d0backed Yes66c173.71$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.061752.9%9 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes43c173.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6312545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4efd…9e75backed Yes44c170$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9178…534ebacked Yes59c163.09$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.091833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.8534643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7901…dae0backed Yes66c151.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.472860.7%17 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No33c149.9$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8233124.2%80 W · 251 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0c5…8c8abacked Yes51c147.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.2412935.7%46 W · 83 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79cc…8026backed Yes65c130.77$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7712753.5%68 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec89…3286backed No39c128.66$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5017146.8%80 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes41c118.85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.1210242.2%43 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes57c108.37$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.64531.1%14 W · 31 L-8.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Yes58c104.28$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6421747.9%104 W · 113 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ad9…65d7backed Yes63c103.52$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.891154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick64cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36aa…cd3abacked No34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.41435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e27…b9a6backed Yes69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x677e…5072backed Yes54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5914550.3%73 W · 72 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49a6…ecd3backed Yes69c90.39$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.02450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x189d…147cbacked Yes69c87.49$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.493063.3%19 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Yes52c77.98$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.628247.6%39 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf526…0146backed Yes56c71.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.433534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x680d…c6bfbacked Yes70c71.02$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.522085%17 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x384a…39c0backed No44c70$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.83959%23 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes67c68$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.6219133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No32c66$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.832037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccd4…b75bbacked No39c63.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.771154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99d7…4d25backed Yes55c61.69$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.511752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c94…1f7dbacked Yes67c60.04$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.811936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-28.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x096a…b22bbacked No38c60$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb6…9decbacked No34c58.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.634456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…ea37backed Yes70c50.01$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.01757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xffce…c93cbacked Yes65c44.62$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.621457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x268c…a03abacked Yes68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.124440.9%18 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…ea43backed Yes66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+35.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Yes67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.218052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…163fbacked No50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes51c39.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.227949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7110048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27b5…7f47backed Yes56c35.38$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c56…9774backed Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.091553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes57c35.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.095145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Yes58c34.73$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.737544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a57…88acbacked Yes58c31.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.033450%17 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19a0…ba30backed Yes57c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec75…2e8fbacked No57c30.94$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.612152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7715949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08b8…af7abacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.772166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d5…b69dbacked Yes65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7083…9165backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4f5…6df5backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07fe…65a0backed Yes66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.33056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5faf…e77abacked Yes61c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+41.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9afd…0aeebacked Yes67c29.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.851947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes69c28.99$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9935247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb2fc…b667backed Yes66c28.82$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.821758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a76…c4e9backed Yes54c27.78$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.