TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x096a…b22b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NHL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 57 out of 100; worst Serie A at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Grizzliesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Lakers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+244.8%+$28.4
Pacers vs. Mavericksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.2
Kings vs. Bullsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.59
Cavaliers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+150.8%+$48.1
Rockets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.3
Clippers vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+109.6%+$36.6
Knicks vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+111.3%+$15.8
Kings vs. Thunderbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.4
76ers vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.1
Spread: Warriors (-7.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Raptors vs. Spursbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Celtics vs. Pelicansbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$21.6
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$15.9
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.7
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.4
Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guobacked Bai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+219.9%+$26.09
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Anastasia Zakharovabacked Salkova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+220.1%+$28.5
Rolex Paris Masters: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex de Minaurbacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.9
Rolex Paris Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Rolex Paris Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublikbacked Moutet · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.62
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Arthur Cazauxbacked Cazaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.07
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Rinderknech vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.9
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Flavio Cobollibacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$15.6
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Katie Boulterbacked Boulter · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.87
Rolex Paris Masters: Tallon Griekspoor vs Gabriel Diallobacked Diallo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$16.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick45cpaid+82.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.8
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+164.9%+$24.9
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+106.9%+$15.5
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+133.9%+$22.9
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+106.9%+$15.5
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+138.1%+$17.4
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.9
Commanders vs. Chiefs: O/U 47.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+107.3%+$20.7
Commanders vs. Chiefs: O/U 48.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Duke vs. Clemsonbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+147.9%+$17.9
Florida International vs. Missouri Statebacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.8
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.1
James Madison vs. Texas Statebacked Texas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.9
All 4 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$19
LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winnerbacked CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+184.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+183%+$19.4
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+186.1%+$45.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.21
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.