TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,221
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$98,990

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,221 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No33c26,037$8,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,673.896,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes59c10,682$6,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,354.4818958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No35c9,612$3,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,318.264,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No49c9,242$4,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,527.6479650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes51c7,731$3,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,799.5520039.5%79 W · 121 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Yes51c7,154$3,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,505.572445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes52c5,857$3,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,838.273644.4%16 W · 20 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No46c5,053$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.7635758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No48c4,999$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,419.631655.1%174 W · 142 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf750…4abbbacked Yes71c3,191$2,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9253345.5%15 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd95…e042backed Yes52c2,484$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.371464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+23%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Yes54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34cf…7188backed No50c1,870$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9352520%5 W · 20 L-4.2wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-43%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xccc0…0fa5backed Yes51c1,500$765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7351250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-19.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No47c1,405$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.1551542.5%219 W · 296 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…0dd9backed No44c1,228$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.7823920.9%50 W · 189 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes52c1,026$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.695637.5%21 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48017837.6%67 W · 111 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfc…4194backed Yes51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.392653.8%14 W · 12 L+2.5wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x927a…4eaebacked Yes51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No48c962.64$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.564617.4%8 W · 38 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-49.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007251.4%37 W · 35 L+7.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9987…79dfbacked Yes51c663.97$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.57475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+23%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeefa…7410backed Yes54c582.46$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.93955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbb4b…ab60backed Yes52c576.92$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23042048.6%204 W · 216 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.165058%29 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…b56bbacked Yes51c349$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.019549.5%47 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No28c335.32$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.261,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15090751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc334…0e88backed Yes54c293.67$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.671040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a92…543dbacked Yes51c245.1$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes52c201.91$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9229238.4%112 W · 180 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.219747.4%46 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb3…285dbacked No47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3134643.9%152 W · 194 L-14.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16a8…7686backed Yes52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72e0…9fc1backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No47c175.55$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.1713543.7%59 W · 76 L-0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa4f…8921backed Yes53c170.94$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.943834.2%13 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes59c168.84$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.848742.5%37 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.296150.8%31 W · 30 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…f5b6backed Yes52c160$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.85745.6%26 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes59c153.1$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.135247.7%168 W · 184 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Yes56c138$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.063161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes53c136.76$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.0612545.6%57 W · 68 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06b9…9150backed No49c130.33$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.86333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-53.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe68a…5e25backed No52c126$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.5210044%44 W · 56 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41b…321dbacked Yes64c120$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.24738.3%18 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ccd…0953backed No49c112.34$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.05366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Yes51c111.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.769941.4%41 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a9…1798backed No52c104.38$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1525…b59ebacked Yes51c103.47$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc560…1fc1backed No49c102.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.31425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-68.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404240.5%17 W · 25 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Yes48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5213656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4915345.8%70 W · 83 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x186b…641cbacked Yes51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494833.3%16 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36aa…cd3abacked No47c99.8$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.991435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No34c99.76$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.9231053.2%165 W · 145 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0391…2ecfbacked Yes66c92.85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.91425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-61.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x096a…b22bbacked No48c90$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.9540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a0…9b88backed Yes52c86.73$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.733053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No42c83.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.212037.4%15 W · 188 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-57.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37af…4086backed No49c82.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.19757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No42c82.02$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.392227.3%6 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.219133%63 W · 128 L-13.8wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe052…3108backed Yes52c76.92$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ad…0bbcbacked No49c76.73$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32bd…c195backed No49c72.17$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.36850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes51c69.39$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…6d6cbacked No49c69.15$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.88250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8af…f391backed No50c68.8$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4607…7811backed Yes53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.22060%12 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+81%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2aee…6760backed No49c59.84$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes48c59.54$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9632822.3%73 W · 255 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7401…da60backed Yes52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4779…7bcabacked No49c56.51$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.69366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb4…bc50backed No49c54.86$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes55c53.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.114330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-6.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6310…ebadbacked No49c52.84$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.89250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa737…cc88backed No49c52.77$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x712a…8ef9backed Yes51c52.53$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.741457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5553…2567backed No49c52.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x458d…694cbacked No49c51.45$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c6e…ccc7backed Yes51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0210048%48 W · 52 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.024839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes74c49$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7439561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Yes55c45.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.610252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa44e…40b6backed No49c44.74$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f57…0319backed Yes51c44.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.62837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ef…1be5backed Yes49c39.66$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.23633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-29.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked Yes61c39.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4315949.7%79 W · 80 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb5b…0037backed Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.461435.7%5 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.26per pick62cpaid-42.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.465145.1%23 W · 28 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85c5…8cadbacked Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.743663.9%23 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c93…8f21backed No49c37.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5a4…60a7backed Yes54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.