TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36aa…cd3a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
151
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 54 out of 100; worst Serie A at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST5736.8%21 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$11.1
Hawks vs. 76ersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+1,584.4%+$551.37
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$19.5
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Rockets vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$16
Clippers vs. 76ersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.4
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10.64
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+192.7%+$39.5
Warriors vs. Spursbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+174%+$38.1
Bucks vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+201.5%+$40.1
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$27.9
Warriors vs. Thunderbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.3
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$16.2
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$26.6
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+135.3%+$23
Trail Blazers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+139.5%+$14.61
Lakers vs. Hawksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+150%+$24
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+141%+$35.1
Raptors vs. Hawksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+111.6%+$12.72
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.7
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+188.1%+$45.7
Timberwolves vs. Knicksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$12.2
76ers vs. Bullsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$28.4
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST2030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Ducks (-1.5)backed Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Utah vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+105.5%+$15.4
Devils vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$16.5
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+134.1%+$20.2
Jets vs. Canucksbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.9
Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$10.78
Penguins vs. Maple Leafsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$11.8
Rangers vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13.2
Maple Leafs vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.7
Islanders vs. Capitalsbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+200%+$20
Blackhawks vs. Jetsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.5
Flames vs. Senatorsbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.3
Canadiens vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Capitals vs. Starsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$31
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+105.1%+$20.5
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.4
Blues vs. Penguinsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$20.8
All 20 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$37.08
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$18.5
Will Arsenal win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+220%+$27.5
Will Everton win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$10.14
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20.9
Will Liverpool win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.4
Tottenham vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+172.7%+$19
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$37.46
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2025-11-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+191%+$20.7
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.99
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+135.7%+$28.79
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+255.8%+$46.56
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.4
All 14 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1010%1 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.27per pick37cpaid-76.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Serie A — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$11.72
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2025-11-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$16.31
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+138.6%+$23.64
Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.86
Will Juventus win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.13
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$26.79
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.8
Atalanta vs. AC Milan: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.81
Lecce vs. Napoli: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.82
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+134.1%+$31.7
Arizona vs. Coloradobacked Colorado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.84
Miami vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+363.6%+$36.4
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.82
Duke vs. Clemsonbacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+145.9%+$17.8
Vanderbilt vs. Texasbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.3
Florida International vs. Missouri Statebacked Florida International · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.4
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Middle Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 30, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-42.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+85.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+86.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.7
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+182.8%+$19.39
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+177.8%+$57.6
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.2
Will CA Mineiro win on 2025-10-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Wawrinka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+185.7%+$26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will New York City FC win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$18.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Northern Ireland win on 2025-11-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.