NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7088b6c14b91dfe36124a0072fc24968e8d1c4a5fb17244844c3961e3c526c94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadiensof Canadiens, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $583,249
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $574,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $583,249 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Kraken | 47c | 220,918$104,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104,803.82 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Kraken | 1c | 142,915$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.15 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Kraken | 9c | 28,428$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,629.99 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Canadiens | 53c | 26,021$13,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,229.81 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Canadiens | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Canadiens | 53c | 22,555$11,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,600.85 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Canadiens | 53c | 20,659$10,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,709.8 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 15,220$7,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,303.54 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Canadiens | 52c | 13,915$7,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,679.09 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 30c | 10,300$3,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,124.87 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Canadiens | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…56fdbacked Kraken | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Kraken | 24c | 9,652$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.26 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Canadiens | 53c | 9,055$4,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,256.02 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken | 47c | 8,995$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,227.65 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canadiens | 53c | 8,400$4,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Canadiens | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Canadiens | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Canadiens | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Canadiens | 53c | 4,915$2,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.05 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Kraken | 1c | 4,877$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Canadiens | 53c | 4,751$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,217.64 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Canadiens | 53c | 4,599$2,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.34 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 0c | 4,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kraken | 39c | 3,292$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,286.11 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken | 47c | 3,067$1,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.49 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 47c | 3,029$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,423.45 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kraken | 11c | 2,982$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.3 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Canadiens | 52c | 2,736$1,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.28 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Kraken | 23c | 2,545$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.22 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 29c | 2,248$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.04 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kraken | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.01 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Canadiens | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Canadiens | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$910 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Canadiens | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Canadiens | 53c | 1,985$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.04 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Kraken | 18c | 1,667$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kraken | 47c | 1,562$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.17 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 1,461$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kraken | 46c | 1,420$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.05 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,364$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken | 45c | 1,331$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.09 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Canadiens | 52c | 1,296$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.15 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Kraken | 47c | 1,280$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.6 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 7c | 1,216$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.63 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Kraken | 12c | 1,196$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.55 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,178$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.43 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Canadiens | 53c | 1,132$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.96 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Kraken | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Kraken | 9c | 899.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.61 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Canadiens | 53c | 852.56$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.29 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Canadiens | 52c | 711$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.28 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Canadiens | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Canadiens | 53c | 579.98$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.59 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Kraken | 5c | 551.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Canadiens | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Canadiens | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Canadiens | 53c | 497$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.59 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Canadiens | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Canadiens | 54c | 459$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.88 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Kraken | 47c | 434.71$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.01 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Canadiens | 62c | 384.36$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Canadiens | 53c | 379.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.6 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Kraken | 23c | 378.64$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Canadiens | 53c | 377.35$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.35 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736c…2b16backed Canadiens | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Canadiens | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Canadiens | 53c | 362.08$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.18 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Canadiens | 52c | 352.2$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Kraken | 47c | 304.79$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.25 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Canadiens | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Canadiens | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Kraken | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Kraken | 5c | 298.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c49…7c10backed Kraken | 37c | 281.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3802…caddbacked Kraken | 47c | 280$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8d…a1e9backed Kraken | 15c | 274.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Canadiens | 53c | 254$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.38 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Canadiens | 52c | 249.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Canadiens | 52c | 249.42$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.72 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…a84abacked Canadiens | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.22 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Kraken | 17c | 210$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Canadiens | 54c | 200.43$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd561…9423backed Canadiens | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 165 | 54.5%90 W · 75 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kraken | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Kraken | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Kraken | 44c | 199.17$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -11.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Canadiens | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Canadiens | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Kraken | 47c | 173.66$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.62 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc93…8afbbacked Kraken | 50c | 162.34$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kraken | 35c | 153.06$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.51 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Kraken | 46c | 146.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c0…93fdbacked Kraken | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Canadiens | 55c | 125.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.79 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Kraken | 47c | 117.02$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed Kraken | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed Kraken | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1114…d59abacked Canadiens | 54c | 101.85$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 229 | 49.3%113 W · 116 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Krakenthis page
- Canadiens vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canadiens vs. Kraken: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.