NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd039ca778e83689e9b130f31661d096f182f3e406677fc8517ae021017b08c91
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Predators, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $631,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $644,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $631,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Flyers | 58c | 369,019$214,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154,988 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Predators | 42c | 238,300$100,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,086 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Predators | 41c | 90,887$37,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,619.39 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Predators | 42c | 38,766$16,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,234.45 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Predators | 41c | 20,872$8,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,596.67 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Predators | 41c | 20,309$8,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,326.71 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c7…4cdcbacked Predators | 50c | 19,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf0…e5bdbacked Flyers | 50c | 19,000$9,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Predators | 30c | 12,408$3,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,663.69 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Flyers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Predators | 42c | 8,995$3,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,777.9 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Flyers | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Predators | 42c | 6,391$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,684.22 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Predators | 41c | 5,676$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.14 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Flyers | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Flyers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,050 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Predators | 40c | 4,423$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.37 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Flyers | 58c | 4,035$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.63 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Predators | 41c | 4,028$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.35 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Predators | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Flyers | 59c | 3,620$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Predators | 41c | 3,573$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,465.05 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Predators | 42c | 3,571$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Predators | 42c | 3,450$1,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Flyers | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 71c | 3,304$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.56 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Flyers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Predators | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…151fbacked Flyers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Flyers | 59c | 2,997$1,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,228.77 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Predators | 41c | 2,831$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.72 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Flyers | 59c | 2,734$1,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,121.5 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Flyers | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Predators | 8c | 2,500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 294 | 12.9%38 W · 256 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Flyers | 59c | 2,407$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.78 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Predators | 1c | 2,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Predators | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Predators | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Predators | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.99 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Flyers | 59c | 1,914$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Flyers | 77c | 1,855$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.76 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9b…1143backed Predators | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Flyers | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9ae0backed Flyers | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Predators | 41c | 1,690$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.89 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Flyers | 59c | 1,605$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.05 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.28per pick | 60cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x808c…634bbacked Predators | 41c | 1,550$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Predators | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.99 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Predators | 41c | 1,490$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.75 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Flyers | 58c | 1,450$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.82 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0801…35cbbacked Flyers | 59c | 1,447$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.16 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -5.0wins | -0.33per pick | 60cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Flyers | 59c | 1,367$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.45 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…a3b9backed Predators | 41c | 1,300$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Predators | 42c | 1,221$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.82 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Predators | 41c | 1,221$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.8 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Predators | 42c | 1,100$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Flyers | 59c | 1,078$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.97 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Predators | 41c | 1,052$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.43 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed Flyers | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3445…7488backed Flyers | 59c | 1,017$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.95 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Flyers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Flyers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…ddc0backed Predators | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 63 | 41.3%26 W · 37 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…15bdbacked Flyers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flyers | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Predators | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Predators | 41c | 999.97$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.99 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Predators | 2c | 865.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Predators | 42c | 857.14$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…1a28backed Flyers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Flyers | 59c | 847.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.46 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Flyers | 59c | 846.95$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Predators | 42c | 806$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.71 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…3e38backed Flyers | 59c | 800$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…a23cbacked Flyers | 59c | 750$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…3582backed Predators | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00b…e78cbacked Flyers | 59c | 714.27$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Predators | 43c | 713$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.59 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24d0…23d9backed Flyers | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flyers | 62c | 683.48$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.56 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…c925backed Flyers | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…fe29backed Flyers | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Flyers | 59c | 677.96$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.96 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…98e8backed Predators | 42c | 677$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.34 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Predators | 41c | 664.98$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.64 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Predators | 19c | 631.33$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe045…c149backed Flyers | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ac…5185backed Flyers | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Flyers | 59c | 593.22$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Predators | 41c | 589.99$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.9 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Predators | 43c | 569$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Flyers | 55c | 551.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…971fbacked Flyers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Flyers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Flyers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Predators | 43c | 504$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.72 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Predators | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b99…01fdbacked Predators | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…a3d9backed Flyers | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Flyersthis page
- Predators vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Predators vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.