NHL · resolved market
Predators vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3baaaa28d5742853ff20cf5b0ef39747d18bdd88d81c3d3577f44618c520f9d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,089
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,023
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,089 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fe4…04abbacked Over | 52c | 3,800$1,976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,976 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda6…e5f3backed Over | 52c | 3,200$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,664 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cf…0e3ebacked Under | 48c | 3,100$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,612 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4052…eb90backed Under | 48c | 3,099$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.57 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0496…f985backed Under | 48c | 3,050$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,586 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,942$914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.98 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…d5c6backed Over | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 45.9%84 W · 99 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 46c | 1,247$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.26 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8069…22cdbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Over | 52c | 268.13$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.43 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 67c | 222$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.26 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Over | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over | 53c | 147.42$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Over | 52c | 90.65$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.14 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9434backed Over | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 47c | 54.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 479 | 44.7%214 W · 265 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 51c | 26.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Predators vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5this page
- Predators vs. FlyersFlyers won
- Predators vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.