NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b09456d14b308573d6fd86ce4101f82485836e7499d03e8cb968529b78deeb6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Heatof Trail Blazers, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,173,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,229,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,173,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 551 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Heat | 52c | 88,442$46,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,356.79 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…0a92backed Trail Blazers | 62c | 74,169$46,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,316.43 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 68,019$41,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,000 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 55,497$26,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,155.83 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 35,355$17,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,020.3 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Heat | 59c | 27,894$16,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,435.12 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Heat | 40c | 24,985$10,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,962.42 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 24,309$14,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,585.4 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Heat | 38c | 21,370$8,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,231.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Heat | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Heat | 39c | 16,328$6,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,959.78 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 16,171$9,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,482.31 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Heat | 38c | 13,804$5,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,548.58 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Heat | 52c | 13,350$6,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,457.82 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Heat | 55c | 12,609$6,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,674.05 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Heat | 56c | 11,300$6,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,015 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 10,233$4,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,804.41 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Heat | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.99 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 9,507$5,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,704.2 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…5ffabacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 9,435$5,661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,661 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…1565backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 8,600$3,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,204.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Heat | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 39c | 6,100$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,747.93 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 5,875$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x405f…45cebacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 5,855$2,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,808.28 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 5,647$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.7 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Heat | 37c | 5,156$1,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,247.98 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 5,098$2,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,956.85 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe887…05cabacked Heat | 55c | 5,037$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,266.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.75 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Trail Blazers | 40c | 4,479$1,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,791.51 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Heat | 39c | 4,408$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.8 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 4,209$1,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,741.67 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…353fbacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.97 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Heat | 40c | 3,878$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.96 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 3,449$1,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,903.83 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…98a8backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 3,440$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.2 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -9.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff9…bdc5backed Heat | 41c | 3,222$1,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.08 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 3,185$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.08 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Heat | 52c | 3,122$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,488.62 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Heat | 41c | 3,051$1,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.83 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Heat | 41c | 3,000$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Heat | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc35a…e5d8backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 2,986$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.59 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -9.1wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Heat | 37c | 2,800$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 2,720$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.97 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Heat | 73c | 2,685$1,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.66 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,602$1,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,282.76 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Heat | 40c | 2,400$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.99 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Heat | 52c | 2,295$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.19 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Heat | 38c | 2,250$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.5 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,243$1,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,107.57 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 2,175$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.12 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 2,160$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.68 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Heat | 39c | 2,129$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Heat | 40c | 2,112$842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.8 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,109$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.15 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Heat | 42c | 2,100$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,224 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 3c | 2,082$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Heat | 31c | 2,082$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,432.3 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Trail Blazers | 57c | 2,080$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.54 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…dfc3backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 2,034$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x717d…fecbbacked Heat | 43c | 2,023$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7c…0defbacked Heat | 43c | 2,023$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb13…c9f2backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 2,017$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Trail Blazers | 60c | 2,016$1,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.31 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383c…dcc6backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…7a34backed Heat | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Heat | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 2,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b8f…2904backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 1,983$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Heat | 45c | 1,980$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.17 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…b8f5backed Heat | 43c | 1,977$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c9…c1fdbacked Heat | 43c | 1,977$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce59…bbddbacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 1,966$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Heat | 56c | 1,890$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.32 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,884$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.68 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…997fbacked Heat | 42c | 1,740$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…6925backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 1,740$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…903dbacked Heat | 42c | 1,730$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…8e5abacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 1,730$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…9802backed Heat | 42c | 1,720$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.6 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +48.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…0de1backed Heat | 42c | 1,720$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.6 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…ca8dbacked Heat | 42c | 1,720$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d47…b10cbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 1,720$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Heat | 40c | 1,500$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.7 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 1,470$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Heat | 45c | 1,469$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.3 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,428$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.92 | 390 | 18.2%71 W · 319 L | +27.6wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 55c | 1,402$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.08 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 1,376$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.8 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 1,343$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.72 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb4…7124backed Heat | 79c | 1,268$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Heat | 53c | 1,250$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.5 | 294 | 58.5%172 W · 122 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44bc…c53ebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,220$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.4 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Trail Blazers | 59c | 1,200$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Heatthis page
- 1H Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)Heat won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)Heat won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5)Heat won
- Trail Blazers vs. Heat: 1H O/U 123.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Heat: O/U 240.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Heat: O/U 241.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.