NHL · resolved market
Maple Leafs vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28f3311664728691e0b50567d007e8a8aa90d3bd00c69056327f0e845b463a14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Maple Leafs, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $368,724
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $370,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $368,724 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Flyers | 48c | 140,500$67,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67,845 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Flyers | 27c | 90,000$24,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,749.97 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 80,000$41,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,399.97 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 55,237$31,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,005.25 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Flyers | 48c | 50,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 36,819$20,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,841.93 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 24,950$12,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,225.5 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 14,596$7,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,006.11 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 10,661$5,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,972.85 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 46c | 9,780$4,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,497.88 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Maple Leafs | 51c | 9,747$4,971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,776.05 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 8,995$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,227.64 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 8,680$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,199.36 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 5,806$3,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,670.55 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Flyers | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 4,941$2,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,371.72 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Flyers | 47c | 4,524$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.77 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Flyers | 48c | 4,167$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Flyers | 27c | 2,720$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.6 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.99 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,375$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,144.61 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Flyers | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.96 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 43c | 1,648$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$932.29 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Flyers | 7c | 1,474$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Flyers | 50c | 1,415$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.4 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Flyers | 46c | 1,393$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.75 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 1,316$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.68 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Flyers | 46c | 1,270$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.78 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,214$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.59 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 1,100$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.61 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Flyers | 3c | 1,056$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 1,030$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Flyers | 49c | 1,014$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Flyers | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 911.3$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.31 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Flyers | 46c | 834$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.64 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 800$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 720.57$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.46 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 615.63$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.5 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffaa…7fd4backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 615.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 36cpaid | +100.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 559.06$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.61 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Flyers | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Flyers | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 60c | 510.77$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.16 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Flyers | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…90d0backed Flyers | 49c | 412.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Flyers | 38c | 409$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.06 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 395$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.65 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Flyers | 47c | 351$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Flyers | 48c | 333$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.84 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Flyers | 47c | 331.58$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.84 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Flyers | 46c | 321.89$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.07 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 301.89$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.89 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Flyers | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 269.08$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.15 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 219$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.31 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Flyers | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Flyers | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Flyers | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 131 | 58.8%77 W · 54 L | +8.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 200$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 145.61$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.64 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 133.43$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Flyers | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Flyers | 46c | 124.53$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Flyers | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 111.3$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.31 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Flyers | 56c | 108.68$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.25 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05c…cba1backed Flyers | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 139 | 41.7%58 W · 81 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Maple Leafs | 54c | 106$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.76 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked Flyers | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Flyers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 457 | 56.2%257 W · 200 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Flyers | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Flyers | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Maple Leafs | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c9…0f2bbacked Flyers | 49c | 97.96$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c0…93fdbacked Flyers | 48c | 96.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…32c2backed Maple Leafs | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2490…303dbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 73.58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 220 | 51.4%113 W · 107 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa789…76a9backed Flyers | 48c | 72.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10af…bb7dbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 71.77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.73 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…6ec6backed Flyers | 48c | 71.02$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.09 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf246…de7abacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 65.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…52a2backed Flyers | 48c | 64.56$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 53cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53da…72f2backed Flyers | 48c | 64.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.28per pick | 44cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0205…2b5ebacked Flyers | 48c | 63.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea1…6072backed Flyers | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 58$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.96 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a6…d937backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 57.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…ea63backed Flyers | 47c | 53.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd30…327dbacked Maple Leafs | 54c | 51.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…d630backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 50.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27cb…38fdbacked Flyers | 47c | 50.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Maple Leafs | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.8wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Flyers | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Flyers | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 74 | 32.4%24 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maple Leafs vs. Flyersthis page
- Maple Leafs vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Maple Leafs vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.