Premier League · resolved market
Tottenham vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9c593e2fa8aa90b4d98a36939097c6933f5c953c8753f47938241e8b358ea0f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,475
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed No | 36c | 2,237$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,423.81 | 253 | 29.2%74 W · 179 L | +11.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ce…2e71backed Yes | 63c | 1,584$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 37c | 1,157$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.33 | 492 | 54.9%270 W · 222 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 36c | 1,010$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.27 | 294 | 27.9%82 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 63c | 852$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.64 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 633.1$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.32 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a2…695fbacked Yes | 64c | 437.88$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb583…3428backed Yes | 62c | 400$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2e…5899backed Yes | 63c | 350$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.3 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 60c | 300$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 136 | 56.6%77 W · 59 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb95f…c250backed Yes | 61c | 220.19$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad8…9411backed No | 47c | 192.5$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0eb…6d57backed Yes | 55c | 184.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 104 | 59.6%62 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 80c | 150.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe42…7522backed Yes | 63c | 149.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a28…7630backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 28c | 76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.6 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5e…b5ecbacked Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a49…a53bbacked Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 59c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 180 | 52.2%94 W · 86 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…30d5backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed No | 41c | 39.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 63c | 32.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08cd…4edbbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…cd3abacked No | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -9.5wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f1…6349backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd627…f511backed Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be2…829fbacked Yes | 62c | 23.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5666…7949backed Yes | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab36…dd62backed Yes | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4e…8b51backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Tottenham vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Chelsea (-0.5)Chelsea won
- Tottenham vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.