TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Tottenham vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$44,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$44,765

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2129…4222backed Under47c14,858$6,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,859.0335758%207 W · 150 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c13,018$6,286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,731.26,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0d0f…a318backed Over50c6,149$3,090 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.1711029.1%32 W · 78 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81c1…189bbacked Over55c5,215$2,868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,867.89450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over53c4,500$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,38513852.2%72 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5303…d66ebacked Over45c2,000$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.045641.1%23 W · 33 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009242.4%39 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under45c1,542$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.2837036.2%134 W · 236 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under45c1,504$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.9124566.1%162 W · 83 L+24.5wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+19.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under45c1,157$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.4449254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc47e…8ae4backed Under50c1,138$569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.841968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Under47c1,103$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.3328736.2%104 W · 183 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-30%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78ad…45ccbacked Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8310962.4%68 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick62cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Over52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Over48c1,000$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.034746.8%22 W · 25 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Over58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over54c972.33$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.062755.6%15 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Under49c913.9$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.622839.3%11 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Over51c704.62$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.3637054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Under48c659$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.711,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Under46c616.98$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33330149.5%149 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Over53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31840953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over55c561.49$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.825625%14 W · 42 L-9.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.4%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Over57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30014544.1%64 W · 81 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7052…ba33backed Over52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked Over56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805848.3%28 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under44c469.99$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.6321548.8%105 W · 110 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fef…5840backed Over55c454.55$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502729.6%8 W · 19 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-48.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Over45c399.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Over56c300$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16827752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Over52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15613656.6%77 W · 59 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under46c299.97$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.9921839.4%86 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0a9…1f13backed Over55c207.27$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-76.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Over39c202.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.453724.3%9 W · 28 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-27.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10810545.7%48 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Over27c199.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543129%9 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb7f…824bbacked Over52c192.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Over53c189$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.172661.5%16 W · 10 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0efd…a51cbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Over53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007642.1%32 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc794…d09cbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009958.6%58 W · 41 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Over54c185$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.914252.8%75 W · 67 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x535b…ffd0backed Over55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55f7…23a3backed Over55c180$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Over56c169$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.6439561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4ad8…9411backed Under60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+90.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd774…e11fbacked Over56c160.71$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$904445.5%20 W · 24 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked Under51c155.91$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9325545.5%116 W · 139 L-18.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-21.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Over53c150$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.55442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2078…2d66backed Over52c147.04$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$762821.4%6 W · 22 L-7.0wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over55c145$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7534628.6%99 W · 247 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under44c131.66$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.2120150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Over53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-25.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa26e…d280backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510031%31 W · 69 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-12%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557544%33 W · 42 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Over54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508845.5%40 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5042862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x11f0…890dbacked Over52c90$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.818052.2%94 W · 86 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0864…df33backed Over57c87.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8be…2ef8backed Over55c77.42$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.5830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e35…da51backed Over77c65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7541…09d1backed Over54c64.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354151.2%21 W · 20 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Over52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.28632.6%28 W · 58 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45fe…da9cbacked Over55c59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.452060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaa2…c110backed Over54c55.93$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bd…2ea6backed Over54c55.65$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302025%5 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-45.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xbed1…331bbacked Over54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83f4…d10cbacked Over55c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.52250%11 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e9e…c4efbacked Under45c49.98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.498631.4%27 W · 59 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe19…3c19backed Over54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9eae…98a5backed Over55c45.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2517759.9%106 W · 71 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-14.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x77ed…ba0dbacked Over52c45.48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.65728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-50.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fb4…4b52backed Over54c45.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.451435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb2…996cbacked Over57c44.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.679941.4%41 W · 58 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c28…78c8backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd44e…e72ebacked Over54c39.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.13911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.32per pick43cpaid-85.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fa2…2da1backed Over52c38.49$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c56…9774backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7787…ae2fbacked Over53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick56cpaid-55.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Over53c37.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6610242.2%43 W · 59 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb58…4acebacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2014045%63 W · 77 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbace…d54abacked Over54c37.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49c4…bf77backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207847.4%37 W · 41 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-18.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x172d…6f3ebacked Over56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010252.9%54 W · 48 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbabd…f4d2backed Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209643.8%42 W · 54 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac25…147abacked Over57c35.09$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202152.4%11 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbcf…53b6backed Over55c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbdc…3d54backed Over46c32.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152030%6 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-42.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed Under42c30.16$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4929427.9%82 W · 212 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Over54c30$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.26564.6%42 W · 23 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17d7…b655backed Over54c29.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61be…5e3cbacked Over54c27.78$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ec…eeb0backed Under72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.78875%6 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa08…45b7backed Under45c25.73$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.151861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeedf…1483backed Over55c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116040%24 W · 36 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Over54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.82962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.