Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Chelsea (-0.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb0483d611ec17fa8c0da18e973b65237e9e36540e0fa8486f6c208ea915f7eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chelseaof Chelsea, Tottenham
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chelsea | 40c | 6,924$2,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.99 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Chelsea | 42c | 4,199$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,433.92 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Tottenham | 60c | 4,194$2,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,512.62 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Tottenham | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,479.99 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Tottenham | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked Tottenham | 60c | 1,249$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.4 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x561e…3e87backed Chelsea | 41c | 1,033$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.6 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Tottenham | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb22…ce57backed Chelsea | 42c | 797.62$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…eaadbacked Chelsea | 42c | 597.29$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tottenham | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e1…d431backed Tottenham | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed Chelsea | 49c | 222.16$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Tottenham | 60c | 129.07$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.94 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…c716backed Tottenham | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9126…1896backed Chelsea | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Tottenham | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0647…da66backed Chelsea | 39c | 56.41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Chelsea | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…6e09backed Chelsea | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x825a…ece6backed Chelsea | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a88…f38abacked Chelsea | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe332…e295backed Tottenham | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Tottenham | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86bd…21bdbacked Tottenham | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a26…7300backed Chelsea | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Chelsea (-0.5)this page
- Tottenham vs. Chelsea: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Tottenham vs. Chelsea: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.