TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Vanderbilt vs. Texas

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Texasof Vanderbilt, Texas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,651,979
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,974,962

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,651,979 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8dbf…53bebacked Vanderbilt40c375,000$150,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149,999.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Texas61c369,803$226,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143,236.1812549.6%62 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Texas60c158,683$95,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63,467.3921055.2%116 W · 94 L+13.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Vanderbilt38c109,640$42,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,060.5468440.8%279 W · 405 L-10.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Vanderbilt0c99,303$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.8513149.6%65 W · 66 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Texas61c89,688$54,321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,366.9281847.9%392 W · 426 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x090a…01b4backed Vanderbilt39c81,074$31,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,710.6411846.6%55 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Vanderbilt40c48,035$19,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,377.8334250.3%172 W · 170 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Texas60c45,557$27,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,222.6916635.5%59 W · 107 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3ed7…e617backed Texas60c31,650$18,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,660.115440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Vanderbilt38c23,114$8,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,887.7193548.4%453 W · 482 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Vanderbilt44c22,804$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00019362.2%120 W · 73 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Texas56c20,000$11,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,749.9815745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Vanderbilt40c18,182$7,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,270.281942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Texas61c16,291$9,888 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,402.618851.1%45 W · 43 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Vanderbilt39c15,000$5,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,8507545.3%34 W · 41 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Texas61c14,128$8,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,524.285947.7%410 W · 449 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Vanderbilt38c13,000$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9406832.4%22 W · 46 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Texas59c11,583$6,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,762.652,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a38…8fb5backed Texas61c11,476$6,986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,490.515446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Vanderbilt39c11,110$4,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,332.957853.8%42 W · 36 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x846b…05a0backed Vanderbilt40c8,400$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,36020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1583…5d72backed Texas60c8,400$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbcd7…9d91backed Vanderbilt40c8,400$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,360250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b2a…11f2backed Texas60c8,400$5,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Texas58c8,119$4,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,423.2226147.9%125 W · 136 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53e5…6177backed Vanderbilt39c7,500$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9257944.3%35 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Texas61c7,336$4,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,878.352462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vanderbilt24c6,469$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,540.1262843.6%274 W · 354 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8768…dd9bbacked Texas75c5,048$3,806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,242.052867.9%19 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Vanderbilt40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017837.6%67 W · 111 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-19.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c51…af7ebacked Vanderbilt36c5,000$1,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,79211844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed Vanderbilt22c5,000$1,110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,110.097143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Vanderbilt39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,95011653.4%62 W · 54 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Vanderbilt6c4,821$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.264841.2%267 W · 381 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Vanderbilt24c4,596$1,102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.267929.1%23 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-41.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas75c3,837$2,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$957.9255350.3%278 W · 275 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Texas61c3,279$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.697146.5%33 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Vanderbilt39c3,007$1,172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.8529055.2%160 W · 130 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21d8…ad91backed Vanderbilt16c2,724$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.528145.7%37 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb123…0a15backed Texas53c2,692$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.494748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Vanderbilt30c2,623$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.6812450.8%63 W · 61 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Vanderbilt40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Vanderbilt40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9919120.9%40 W · 151 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Vanderbilt41c2,500$1,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,024.9824348.1%117 W · 126 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Vanderbilt39c2,479$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.2725629.3%75 W · 181 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Vanderbilt41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Texas61c2,385$1,455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.1520450.5%103 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Texas71c2,361$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.5410445.2%47 W · 57 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Texas66c2,037$1,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.8738546%177 W · 208 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Vanderbilt8c2,024$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.627648.9%135 W · 141 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1822…804cbacked Texas57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe530…7424backed Vanderbilt42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-35.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ab…95dfbacked Vanderbilt3c2,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Texas76c1,990$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.615451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Texas61c1,967$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.2617655.1%97 W · 79 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Texas59c1,898$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.1413450.7%68 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Texas72c1,890$1,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.2523751.1%121 W · 116 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Texas58c1,838$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.8475651.9%392 W · 364 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x632d…60ccbacked Vanderbilt41c1,800$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bb2…9572backed Vanderbilt41c1,800$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29d6…2fcbbacked Texas59c1,800$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf785…80f0backed Texas59c1,800$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x522b…6ab1backed Texas59c1,800$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x25de…2c5bbacked Vanderbilt41c1,800$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Vanderbilt43c1,800$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.7134529.9%103 W · 242 L-21.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Vanderbilt1c1,740$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4790%0 W · 79 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Texas76c1,716$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.841764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56fc…733ebacked Vanderbilt39c1,676$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.783036.7%11 W · 19 L-6.7wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40.9%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Texas53c1,583$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.521348.8%104 W · 109 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Vanderbilt38c1,540$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.097448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Texas75c1,504$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.8740244.8%180 W · 222 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Texas57c1,502$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.988549.4%42 W · 43 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cad…994fbacked Vanderbilt39c1,500$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+38.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cf8…a08abacked Texas59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.98333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1377…56aebacked Vanderbilt42c1,365$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.3922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Texas58c1,365$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.35653.6%30 W · 26 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7e…dfafbacked Vanderbilt11c1,314$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99c4…0c89backed Vanderbilt35c1,278$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.254436.4%16 W · 28 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0777…110ebacked Vanderbilt41c1,210$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb1e0…43d0backed Texas60c1,209$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x285c…5955backed Vanderbilt42c1,202$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f83…675fbacked Vanderbilt3c1,177$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick27cpaid-10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb406…4964backed Texas57c1,145$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.23348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b5…e5eebacked Vanderbilt22c1,144$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc869…8a6ebacked Vanderbilt44c1,136$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50017946.9%84 W · 95 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Texas59c1,111$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.5114836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd1cb…85eebacked Texas62c1,062$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.911546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Texas62c1,028$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.885750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Texas59c1,008$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.2817361.3%106 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Vanderbilt40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Texas60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4001650%8 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5216…fe0bbacked Texas59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64ba…b7bfbacked Vanderbilt40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick43cpaid-78.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…078abacked Vanderbilt39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe51…c0d3backed Vanderbilt38c999.99$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.85850%4 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db6…da81backed Vanderbilt41c983.35$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002867.9%19 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick49cpaid+85.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Vanderbilt21c956.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005414.8%8 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-42.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x700c…9368backed Vanderbilt22c909.09$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2c0…69d0backed Texas72c902.78$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.785742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.