NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9fa75688b3a7cccf0d42ff69514b51f1cd0415e5902c2884c27861d48131d1b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Magicof Trail Blazers, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,092,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,148,254
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,092,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,550 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 909,589$418,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418,410.73 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Magic | 54c | 743,253$401,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342,001.32 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Magic | 54c | 121,959$65,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,434.3 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Magic | 54c | 101,231$54,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,512.28 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Magic | 43c | 60,000$25,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,350 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 42,000$14,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,220 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked Magic | 53c | 33,000$17,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,509.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 31,400$14,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,758 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Magic | 59c | 29,159$17,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,936.44 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Magic | 70c | 28,551$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550.95 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 28,107$12,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,648.13 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5224…0de8backed Magic | 65c | 25,341$16,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,927.51 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968b…e907backed Magic | 53c | 25,000$13,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,750.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 25,000$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,499.98 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 22,518$10,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,500 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked Magic | 53c | 21,660$11,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,152.29 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 21,147$10,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,914.94 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Magic | 53c | 16,238$8,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,632.01 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 14,538$6,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,753.75 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Trail Blazers | 31c | 14,073$4,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.75 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a1…efbfbacked Magic | 55c | 14,050$7,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,322.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x462c…2fa3backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 12,376$5,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,569.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8db…4e5bbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 12,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Trail Blazers | 19c | 11,390$2,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,136.43 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe081…a4b1backed Magic | 55c | 10,381$5,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Magic | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 58c | 8,817$5,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,667.79 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 8,667$3,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,790 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 74c | 8,293$6,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.81 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Trail Blazers | 30c | 8,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.99 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77ea…324cbacked Magic | 56c | 7,909$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,479.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde8a…c57abacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 7,903$3,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,477.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 53c | 6,985$3,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,267.3 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 62c | 6,898$4,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.24 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Magic | 54c | 6,540$3,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,008.33 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 6,418$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.57 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 6,089$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.05 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Trail Blazers | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Magic | 55c | 5,520$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,484 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 5,235$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.42 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 70c | 5,172$3,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,563.83 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Magic | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,350 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Magic | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.97 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 5,000$1,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,398.31 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Magic | 59c | 4,863$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,012.44 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers | 28c | 4,840$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.15 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 4,447$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.46 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 4,289$1,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,843.82 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 4,200$1,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 3,593$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.27 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Magic | 57c | 3,470$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,492.22 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Magic | 54c | 3,300$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,521 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Magic | 56c | 3,064$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.54 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 2,986$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.12 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 2,838$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.19 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers | 18c | 2,785$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 2,704$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cfb…27eebacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 2,608$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 2,537$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 54c | 2,500$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.79 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 51c | 2,405$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.97 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 2,378$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.09 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 2,339$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.86 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…ee92backed Magic | 55c | 2,250$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 2,250$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,222$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.34 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…f7a8backed Magic | 64c | 2,100$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Magic | 54c | 2,075$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.5 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 2,040$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…f569backed Magic | 55c | 2,040$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 1,999$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.6 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Trail Blazers | 35c | 1,900$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 1,821$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.86 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Magic | 54c | 1,753$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.44 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c95…7db9backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,696$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47a9…571cbacked Magic | 55c | 1,696$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Magic | 58c | 1,622$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.52 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…409fbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 1,574$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$739.74 | 194 | 41.2%80 W · 114 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Magic | 56c | 1,547$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.31 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc6…c936backed Trail Blazers | 76c | 1,524$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.29 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb175…b65cbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,505$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.9wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 1,496$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.01 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Magic | 54c | 1,457$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.22 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…3c22backed Magic | 56c | 1,429$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 1,424$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.7 | 1,113 | 41.6%463 W · 650 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd521…e068backed Magic | 53c | 1,410$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 1,399$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.05 | 181 | 55.2%100 W · 81 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Magic | 53c | 1,395$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.46 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Magicthis page
- Spread: Magic (-1.5)Magic won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Magic won
- Trail Blazers vs. Magic: 1H O/U 121.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Magic: O/U 235.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Magic: O/U 236.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Magic: O/U 237.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.