College Football · resolved market
Miami vs. SMU Mustangs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc03507b39ea46ce6f7dc4e4d81f758a0eea60c0c3fcb880ba6c0e54b8faba86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SMU Mustangsof Miami, SMU Mustangs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $442,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $463,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Miami | 76c | 43,551$33,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,000 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed SMU Mustangs | 22c | 33,530$7,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,260.91 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Miami | 73c | 33,253$24,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,271.45 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked SMU Mustangs | 24c | 28,493$6,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,668.48 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Miami | 74c | 26,964$20,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,064.06 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Miami | 77c | 21,148$16,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,279.64 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed SMU Mustangs | 25c | 17,572$4,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,164.97 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed SMU Mustangs | 24c | 17,188$4,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,063.05 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked SMU Mustangs | 27c | 15,460$4,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,255.01 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed SMU Mustangs | 22c | 14,968$3,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,675.02 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Miami | 80c | 12,533$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked SMU Mustangs | 27c | 10,668$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,740.06 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed SMU Mustangs | 24c | 8,196$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,195.79 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Miami | 76c | 6,899$5,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,260.61 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…ebaabacked Miami | 79c | 6,595$5,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed SMU Mustangs | 28c | 4,910$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,520.46 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…a1f2backed Miami | 71c | 4,783$3,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400.83 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked SMU Mustangs | 64c | 4,344$2,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,549.55 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed SMU Mustangs | 17c | 4,315$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,567.99 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked SMU Mustangs | 24c | 3,499$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.24 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Miami | 78c | 3,000$2,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,330 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1808…fb72backed SMU Mustangs | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked SMU Mustangs | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5249…848fbacked Miami | 78c | 3,000$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed SMU Mustangs | 31c | 2,880$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989.39 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed SMU Mustangs | 21c | 2,729$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.65 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428e…f175backed SMU Mustangs | 23c | 2,600$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed SMU Mustangs | 37c | 2,500$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.91 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf35e…94cabacked Miami | 79c | 2,456$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.09 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…9ed3backed SMU Mustangs | 24c | 2,110$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.21 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Miami | 78c | 2,021$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,572.68 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed SMU Mustangs | 36c | 1,976$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.11 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed SMU Mustangs | 22c | 1,800$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.69 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…3d5cbacked SMU Mustangs | 23c | 1,700$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,309 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked SMU Mustangs | 23c | 1,663$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.74 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Miami | 77c | 1,591$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.96 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed SMU Mustangs | 21c | 1,500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.98 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed SMU Mustangs | 22c | 1,400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.98 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed SMU Mustangs | 36c | 1,386$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Miami | 75c | 1,352$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.09 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed SMU Mustangs | 36c | 1,273$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.48 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SMU Mustangs | 35c | 1,264$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.48 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Miami | 64c | 1,259$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.86 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked SMU Mustangs | 22c | 1,200$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.64 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ea…f9bdbacked Miami | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6a…2d4abacked Miami | 78c | 1,200$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Miami | 77c | 1,126$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.02 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked SMU Mustangs | 21c | 1,093$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.43 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed SMU Mustangs | 31c | 1,006$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.14 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x730d…6cfabacked SMU Mustangs | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +34%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Miami | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Miami | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…9c77backed SMU Mustangs | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12a…786dbacked Miami | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 78cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Miami | 79c | 999.64$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8768…dd9bbacked SMU Mustangs | 31c | 991$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.79 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed SMU Mustangs | 38c | 971$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.02 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed SMU Mustangs | 30c | 955.96$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.91 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed SMU Mustangs | 21c | 952.95$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.83 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.16per pick | 33cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked SMU Mustangs | 21c | 918.61$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.13 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…da55backed Miami | 78c | 900$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d8d1backed SMU Mustangs | 25c | 771.71$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.49 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked SMU Mustangs | 23c | 570.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.22 | 220 | 30.5%67 W · 153 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e4…9bb3backed Miami | 78c | 509.54$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed SMU Mustangs | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked SMU Mustangs | 35c | 500$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed SMU Mustangs | 19c | 491.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.05 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa177…6e84backed SMU Mustangs | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…5577backed SMU Mustangs | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea1…4b8dbacked SMU Mustangs | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.55 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dba…c816backed Miami | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed SMU Mustangs | 22c | 409$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.31 | 542 | 43.2%234 W · 308 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed SMU Mustangs | 20c | 406$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.26 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed SMU Mustangs | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e0…b63fbacked SMU Mustangs | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Miami | 78c | 396.66$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.5 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e9…5521backed Miami | 80c | 380.7$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed SMU Mustangs | 32c | 360.81$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.35 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked SMU Mustangs | 23c | 360.14$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.98 | 268 | 46.3%124 W · 144 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Miami | 77c | 357.88$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.57 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0074…2be0backed Miami | 64c | 354.97$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.49 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked SMU Mustangs | 33c | 336.08$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.51 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Miami | 66c | 331.95$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.73 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed SMU Mustangs | 28c | 300.94$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.25 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked SMU Mustangs | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Miami | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Miami | 74c | 297$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.61 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…04b8backed Miami | 58c | 292.24$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.5 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.20per pick | 68cpaid | -35%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Miami | 78c | 283$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.74 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b66…68b8backed Miami | 63c | 271.43$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…5d9ebacked Miami | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2838…fdd3backed Miami | 74c | 241.61$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed SMU Mustangs | 20c | 235$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed SMU Mustangs | 26c | 227.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.73 | 269 | 39.8%107 W · 162 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Miami | 32c | 200$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.2 | 242 | 29.3%71 W · 171 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed SMU Mustangs | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa609…a3d9backed SMU Mustangs | 20c | 200$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…cf01backed Miami | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b99…01fdbacked Miami | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Miami | 76c | 198.13$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami vs. SMU Mustangsthis page
- Miami vs. SMU Mustangs: O/U 51.5Under won
- O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Miami (-10.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: Miami (-11.5)SMU Mustangs won
- Spread: Miami (-12.5)SMU Mustangs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.