TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,993

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,965 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x36aa…cd3abacked Under2c1,450$24 inLost-$245736.8%21 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8044…358ebacked Under23c1,089$254 inLost-$253.8754951.9%285 W · 264 L-2.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Under20c1,000$200 inLost-$20048448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under36c964.04$349 inLost-$348.71,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Over80c936.55$749 inWon+$187.3135447.7%169 W · 185 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Over45c901.07$401 inWon+$499.753,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e22…88a5backed Under51c588.24$300 inLost-$3002958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Over63c396.83$250 inWon+$146.8336943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over60c313.77$188 inWon+$125.888,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Over66c298.55$197 inWon+$101.5114763.3%93 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6b4…e861backed Under44c298.25$131 inLost-$131.237047.1%33 W · 37 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Under12c191.05$23 inLost-$23.392,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Over62c161.66$100 inWon+$61.6619552.8%103 W · 92 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f31…2c4ebacked Over65c122.31$79 inWon+$43.264753.2%25 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under34c91.01$31 inLost-$30.9476247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Under70c71.75$50 inLost-$505543.6%24 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Over37c58.99$22 inWon+$37.255125.5%13 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed Over62c50$31 inWon+$19.169049.4%341 W · 349 L-30.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Over60c50$30 inWon+$2071044.6%317 W · 393 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under38c50$19 inLost-$194,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Under37c48$18 inLost-$17.971,13217%192 W · 940 L+2.5wins0.00per pick17cpaid-25.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19c9…2e09backed Over63c31.75$20 inWon+$11.753562.9%22 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17a…117fbacked Over65c30$20 inWon+$10.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8490…3243backed Under68c29.3$20 inLost-$207048.6%34 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc609…f29abacked Over65c23.08$15 inWon+$8.085341.5%22 W · 31 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.