NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf58bbfb4ee18964a52e142f0a0f07d5a56eb541e2470b12b4a3b47df97132beb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Over | 47c | 1,409$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.44 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4278…0e92backed Under | 52c | 1,160$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.69 | 416 | 52.2%217 W · 199 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…d851backed Under | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 461$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.73 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 53c | 264.95$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.73 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 45c | 255$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.5 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6b…943abacked Under | 52c | 206.83$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.28 | 154 | 61.7%95 W · 59 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x117c…db06backed Over | 47c | 200.13$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x414b…73bcbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Under | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Under | 46c | 155.92$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.84 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 46c | 125$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Under | 57c | 120$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.6 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 119.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.42 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…0831backed Under | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 185 | 58.4%108 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 44c | 54$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…53c3backed Over | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 42.22$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…b151backed Under | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 150 | 56%84 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…b651backed Under | 54c | 38.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 55c | 38.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.39 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Under | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 51 | 25.5%13 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x631e…a121backed Under | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 760 | 54.6%415 W · 345 L | +56.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Under | 58c | 25.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.95 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 56c | 24.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Under | 54c | 21.57$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 482 | 55%265 W · 217 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Rockets (-6.5)Rockets won
- Rockets vs. JazzRockets won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: 1H O/U 114.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5Over won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 232.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 233.5Under won
- Rockets vs. Jazz: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Rockets (-11.5)Rockets won
- Spread: Rockets (-12.5)Rockets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.