NBA · resolved market

Rockets vs. Jazz

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53b2f5efad0fcabd829b5d31fc6589bd700fc0de11204e7ae624629fcc5be4dc

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Rocketsof Rockets, Jazz
Resolved: Nov 30, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $442,642
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $438,810

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $442,642 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9f05…8937backed Jazz	16c	17,569$2,756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,756.07	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Jazz	2c	15,593$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.53	142	43%61 W · 81 L	+9.4wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jazz	17c	13,638$2,322 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,322.22	2,045	48.4%990 W · 1,055 L	-30.3wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Jazz	16c	13,046$2,087 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,087.31	668	53.4%357 W · 311 L	+22.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Jazz	16c	12,500$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	59	47.5%28 W · 31 L	+3.6wins	+0.06per pick	41cpaid	+24%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8049…8f36backed Jazz	15c	10,000$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,499.98	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Jazz	0c	9,782$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.76	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jazz	15c	9,554$1,455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,454.54	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Jazz	16c	9,005$1,441 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,440.81	964	47.8%461 W · 503 L	+35.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jazz	7c	8,971$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$602.34	1,190	32%381 W · 809 L	-58.1wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jazz	17c	8,870$1,474 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,473.99	2,091	47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L	-56.6wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Jazz	17c	8,576$1,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.92	698	52%363 W · 335 L	+10.3wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…57b3backed Jazz	4c	8,560$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Jazz	15c	8,000$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,229.99	1,048	41.1%431 W · 617 L	+23.6wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jazz	17c	7,710$1,276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,275.59	3,591	50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L	+21.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…a693backed Jazz	0c	6,078$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	34	8.8%3 W · 31 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa16c…910bbacked Jazz	1c	5,549$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-83.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…4173backed Jazz	15c	5,453$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.89	40	35%14 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Jazz	16c	4,600$736 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$736	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27d5…178fbacked Jazz	16c	4,589$734 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$734.19	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a64…8c1bbacked Jazz	16c	3,990$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.4	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Jazz	10c	3,568$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.7	815	29.4%240 W · 575 L	-37.0wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-43%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Jazz	11c	3,082$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.57	1,003	34.7%348 W · 655 L	-44.7wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c06…db24backed Jazz	4c	3,070$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.04	59	33.9%20 W · 39 L	+2.6wins	+0.04per pick	30cpaid	+60.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Jazz	17c	2,500$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.19	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca8…c951backed Jazz	16c	2,200$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	-1.9wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Jazz	17c	2,072$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.42	489	44.2%216 W · 273 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Jazz	16c	2,002$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.34	927	53.5%496 W · 431 L	+20.1wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked Jazz	17c	2,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	182	39%71 W · 111 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Jazz	19c	1,835$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	653	39.5%258 W · 395 L	-24.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jazz	17c	1,722$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285.19	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jazz	5c	1,669$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.65	1,226	37.4%458 W · 768 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe302…35c4backed Jazz	16c	1,563$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Jazz	16c	1,534$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.14	3,120	44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L	-7.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Jazz	16c	1,500$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	179	31.8%57 W · 122 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Jazz	3c	1,500$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	288	38.2%110 W · 178 L	-18.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0835…7ac0backed Jazz	15c	1,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.99	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Jazz	3c	1,402$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.05	480	46%221 W · 259 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked Jazz	15c	1,353$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.98	159	45.9%73 W · 86 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Jazz	6c	1,270$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.88	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Jazz	16c	1,250$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	167	40.1%67 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdef…2ffebacked Jazz	17c	1,212$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.08	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.20per pick	46cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Jazz	17c	1,151$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.76	2,361	48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L	-41.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaaa8…7ea2backed Jazz	1c	1,091$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	345	54.8%189 W · 156 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8839…8a3ebacked Jazz	17c	1,076$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.98	74	33.8%25 W · 49 L	-8.5wins	-0.11per pick	45cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jazz	17c	1,064$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.96	608	34.4%209 W · 399 L	+8.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed Jazz	6c	1,025$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.15	332	35.5%118 W · 214 L	-27.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x69c2…40cfbacked Jazz	19c	1,000$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.47	481	32.6%157 W · 324 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Jazz	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	256	42.6%109 W · 147 L	-9.9wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33da…f818backed Jazz	7c	995.91$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.88	63	58.7%37 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	56cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb3…26aebacked Jazz	4c	971.69$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.57	28	28.6%8 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Jazz	14c	946$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.17	2,265	43.4%982 W · 1,283 L	-26.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Jazz	16c	922.38$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.58	950	49.4%469 W · 481 L	+10.8wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6583…53fdbacked Jazz	16c	858$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.28	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	55cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b85…f9d2backed Jazz	17c	822.42$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.81	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	46cpaid	-51.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf28…72aabacked Jazz	15c	800$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	133	18.8%25 W · 108 L	-9.4wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Jazz	16c	775$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	369	43.4%160 W · 209 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f85…3b32backed Jazz	3c	772.3$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.06per pick	19cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68d8…ce04backed Jazz	15c	760$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	17cpaid	+75.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc276…c2d9backed Jazz	4c	750$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa198…9601backed Jazz	16c	750$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	163	46.6%76 W · 87 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ffa…92e2backed Jazz	17c	712.04$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.05	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fe8…fc1bbacked Jazz	3c	700$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x022b…b28cbacked Jazz	11c	700$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	167	30.5%51 W · 116 L	-8.7wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec2c…1b20backed Jazz	5c	687.39$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	45	33.3%15 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Jazz	8c	644.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.42	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Jazz	3c	599.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-66.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ed3…bdf7backed Jazz	17c	590$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.3	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Jazz	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	161	36%58 W · 103 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97d2…1332backed Jazz	16c	531.25$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	46cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbc7…186fbacked Jazz	19c	526.32$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	109	33.9%37 W · 72 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe831…a42abacked Jazz	14c	515.63$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.63	183	49.2%90 W · 93 L	+10.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Jazz	3c	513.89$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	679	11%75 W · 604 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-11%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Jazz	16c	500.29$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.05	1,198	38.8%465 W · 733 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed Jazz	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	83	37.3%31 W · 52 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Jazz	16c	500$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44a6…0b99backed Jazz	15c	499.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd35…66c2backed Jazz	5c	450$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	183	17.5%32 W · 151 L	-8.0wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-53.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9565…eff9backed Jazz	15c	399.98$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.2wins	+0.10per pick	32cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Jazz	11c	394$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.58	2,208	46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L	+42.7wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb0fd…ac31backed Jazz	16c	350$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Jazz	16c	325$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.87	1,294	48.1%623 W · 671 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3947…b1e9backed Jazz	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	98	58.2%57 W · 41 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf2e…c770backed Jazz	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	62	32.3%20 W · 42 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae4…a127backed Jazz	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	110	41.8%46 W · 64 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8313…1a6ebacked Jazz	6c	308.91$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	155	36.1%56 W · 99 L	+3.7wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dee…1199backed Jazz	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+2.5wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Jazz	14c	290$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.9	127	43.3%55 W · 72 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ed2…0ed5backed Jazz	16c	288$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.08	16	50%8 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a14…fddabacked Jazz	11c	272.73$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	36	38.9%14 W · 22 L	-5.4wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x146c…b807backed Jazz	16c	250$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	204	41.7%85 W · 119 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	39cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc871…7d99backed Jazz	13c	242.16$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	468	26.5%124 W · 344 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Jazz	8c	232.63$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.5	487	39.8%194 W · 293 L	-21.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cfe…a741backed Jazz	16c	218.75$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	127	46.5%59 W · 68 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Jazz	7c	216$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.54	853	44%375 W · 478 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe838…3832backed Rockets	76c	210$160 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.4	122	41%50 W · 72 L	+8.3wins	+0.07per pick	34cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdad3…7044backed Jazz	16c	206.25$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	127	52.8%67 W · 60 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf770…f768backed Jazz	18c	200$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	+2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a51…ed2cbacked Jazz	16c	200$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-2.1wins	-0.19per pick	46cpaid	-49.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xccce…2e6cbacked Jazz	17c	200$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	103	41.7%43 W · 60 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Rockets vs. Jazz

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event