Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38b3ceabd87aa4c69788696f2648814dea1d92d469cdfeff0fb593019a784ad2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,844
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked No | 55c | 12,676$6,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,704.19 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 42c | 9,864$4,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160.94 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Yes | 46c | 7,877$3,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,587.14 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 45c | 4,609$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070.11 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 58c | 4,158$2,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.17 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 55c | 3,124$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.04 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 53c | 2,761$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.54 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 49c | 2,400$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.62 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed No | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked No | 55c | 1,400$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,209$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.53 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0cc…5cb7backed No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Yes | 25c | 923.04$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed No | 74c | 715$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.9 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcfc…563ebacked Yes | 45c | 650$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 53c | 599.98$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 51c | 457$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.93 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 47c | 444$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 42c | 404.17$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.44 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4636…8ea7backed No | 56c | 400$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 46c | 379.12$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.74 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b46…4f6ebacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 43c | 332.12$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.56 | 351 | 57%200 W · 151 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b8…6a66backed Yes | 21c | 309.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc648…259cbacked No | 63c | 299.88$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0981backed No | 56c | 250$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e2…1026backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 69c | 182.27$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 72c | 181.06$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4406…c664backed Yes | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 43c | 145.07$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.08 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 58c | 138.3$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.03 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…0b26backed Yes | 45c | 132.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25b0…94ebbacked Yes | 44c | 122.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02d…b9f4backed Yes | 45c | 121.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8f…fab4backed No | 57c | 121.09$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02ac…33b2backed No | 57c | 118.19$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad97…eccabacked No | 55c | 117$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45a6…14aebacked Yes | 46c | 117$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67e…3528backed No | 57c | 115.42$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed Yes | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f9…df7abacked No | 55c | 115$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e1d…0374backed Yes | 47c | 115$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 41c | 109.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.27 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78f4…9e2fbacked Yes | 45c | 89.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cd…fdc9backed Yes | 44c | 85.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e0…1e92backed No | 55c | 82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3444…9e11backed Yes | 47c | 82$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2341…618fbacked Yes | 48c | 57.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…4452backed Yes | 44c | 55.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…489fbacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9fbbbacked Yes | 45c | 49.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 46c | 45.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…a925backed Yes | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc109…cc36backed Yes | 45c | 37.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…7653backed Yes | 45c | 36.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ec…0c17backed Yes | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…cd3abacked Yes | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed Yes | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…0a95backed Yes | 46c | 29.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…046ebacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 64cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a01…ff61backed No | 57c | 18.11$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 69c | 16.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will OGC Nice vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.