Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8613775fb352943286fd1f63b99cbeb0e87ac78661224521e158d90e67ca6e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,788
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,788 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 73c | 6,000$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 27c | 4,069$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.53 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 36c | 3,070$1,113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,957 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 66c | 2,998$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,985.06 | 82 | 42.7%35 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 29c | 2,050$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.5 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 8.3%3 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Yes | 27c | 1,000$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 38c | 789.5$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.37 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 709.68$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.78 | 215 | 60%129 W · 86 L | +15.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 25c | 644.73$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.8 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 70c | 628.3$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.81 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03de…4bfdbacked No | 76c | 600$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa359…e803backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.92 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d7…9926backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 55c | 344.07$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.62 | 339 | 38.1%129 W · 210 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 26c | 341.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.43 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 36c | 249.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 27c | 217.89$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.06 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed No | 42c | 215.86$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 71c | 213.59$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 260 | 40.4%105 W · 155 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3407…897ebacked Yes | 27c | 200$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 73c | 173.03$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.31 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 26c | 135.14$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…0a95backed Yes | 30c | 121.31$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 29c | 119.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +77.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 26c | 99.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.99 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 56c | 81.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed Yes | 26c | 80$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6a…64efbacked Yes | 30c | 72.27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 68.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…aba8backed Yes | 45c | 64.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dee…efa6backed No | 39c | 64.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 48cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587f…1d4abacked No | 73c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…2551backed No | 73c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91b9…6654backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5399…fab2backed Yes | 46c | 43.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Yes | 50c | 39.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3882…aa2dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e80…e401backed No | 73c | 35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…ce28backed No | 72c | 29.76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…f5ddbacked Yes | 58c | 27.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…eeb0backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 56c | 24.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 68c | 24.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1794…d93cbacked Yes | 64c | 24.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d82…b4b8backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 177 | 56.5%100 W · 77 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-29?No won
- Will OGC Nice vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.