Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3c12cb4249eb3283d9676438a590c1d3892ad40ec29549c97be246f1c5d59b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,848
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,848 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 22,244$11,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,856.92 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 60c | 15,323$9,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,224.22 | 201 | 57.2%115 W · 86 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb703…1a39backed No | 64c | 12,416$7,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,934.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 7c | 6,599$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.93 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +27.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 5,205$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,061.97 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 36c | 4,768$1,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,065.3 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 66c | 3,700$2,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 29c | 3,337$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.48 | 183 | 23.5%43 W · 140 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 56c | 2,962$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660.32 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…4ee4backed Yes | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1edcbacked Yes | 31c | 1,605$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.91 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 21c | 1,526$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200.69 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7502…beafbacked Yes | 43c | 1,234$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.09 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 77c | 1,200$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.99 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed No | 54c | 1,111$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3667…75ffbacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…23dcbacked Yes | 28c | 803.32$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.39 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 32c | 673.15$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.52 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 77c | 666$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.36 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 67c | 651.7$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.52 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 26c | 551.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.11 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Yes | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 72c | 399.11$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.84 | 420 | 48.6%204 W · 216 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed No | 73c | 308.79$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.86 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked No | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 68cpaid | -34%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x535b…ffd0backed Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 59c | 269$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.71 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 18c | 268.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.34 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 56c | 266.86$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.47 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…796ebacked No | 77c | 194.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 47c | 168.66$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -8.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…7ad0backed Yes | 43c | 156.38$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 19c | 133.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.06 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 389 | 41.4%161 W · 228 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 44c | 120$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 27c | 119$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.53 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5c82backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.11 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 72c | 104.89$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.95 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 53c | 102.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…606ebacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9804…d512backed Yes | 25c | 82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes | 25c | 81.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 34c | 76.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…a0b2backed Yes | 48c | 73.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe825…8fc8backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.17 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…cd3abacked Yes | 28c | 64.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 191 | 33%63 W · 128 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5faf…e77abacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed No | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 133 | 42.1%56 W · 77 L | -13.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x11cb…6de3backed Yes | 47c | 53.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…b22bbacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0719…83f0backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…0e6dbacked Yes | 47c | 48.38$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee57…52a4backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…cfbabacked Yes | 46c | 42.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 44c | 27.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 217 | 47.9%104 W · 113 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 64c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 543 | 28.2%153 W · 390 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.