Premier League · resolved market
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52f23a4dd01120361c18c010a88ede2db9f7500645b8499845f2d582289533b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,661
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,594
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,661 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 72c | 5,003$3,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.98 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 24c | 3,796$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.95 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 26c | 3,192$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.17 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,744$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.82 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…1f97backed Yes | 22c | 1,473$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 20c | 1,462$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.33 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 20c | 1,397$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.31 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 75c | 1,070$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.87 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ff…ca90backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 213 | 53.1%113 W · 100 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 75c | 453.8$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 72c | 441.72$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 22c | 355.82$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.51 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 30c | 337.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes | 25c | 326$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.5 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 76c | 214.31$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 135 | 43.7%59 W · 76 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 28c | 207.16$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x132e…c724backed Yes | 28c | 203.8$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 7c | 199$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 138 | 32.6%45 W · 93 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Yes | 27c | 173.56$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 21c | 149.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 29c | 122.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5b…b993backed No | 75c | 94.87$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked No | 75c | 78.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed No | 79c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccd4…b75bbacked No | 74c | 26.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-10-29?Yes won
- Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.