College Football · resolved market
Arizona vs. Colorado
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8026264314846f0c809f3e71e14a8c2d97fddf11a95e5751bc78211d3f8c52c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arizonaof Arizona, Colorado
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,810
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $157,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,810 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Arizona | 66c | 22,286$14,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,526.74 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Colorado | 38c | 12,125$4,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,561.2 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Colorado | 11c | 10,081$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.59 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Arizona | 64c | 10,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,600 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Colorado | 36c | 4,488$1,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,615.6 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Colorado | 36c | 3,811$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.96 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona | 62c | 3,399$2,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300.77 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Arizona | 74c | 2,962$2,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.67 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked Colorado | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Arizona | 64c | 2,157$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.49 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Colorado | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7822…f8b8backed Colorado | 36c | 1,746$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…2ec3backed Arizona | 64c | 1,742$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Colorado | 35c | 1,700$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Colorado | 37c | 1,516$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.92 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Colorado | 12c | 1,502$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.71 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Colorado | 36c | 1,350$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.5 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…955abacked Colorado | 37c | 1,162$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Colorado | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Colorado | 36c | 944.9$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.16 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce91…9c9fbacked Colorado | 22c | 921.32$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Colorado | 35c | 891.7$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.09 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Colorado | 36c | 845.57$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.31 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Arizona | 64c | 667.89$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Colorado | 11c | 658.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.46 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7c…8eabbacked Arizona | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Colorado | 35c | 599$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.65 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Colorado | 37c | 529$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.92 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Arizona | 68c | 440$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.3 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda82…5da2backed Colorado | 37c | 320$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado | 6c | 314$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed Colorado | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Colorado | 16c | 263.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Arizona | 63c | 206.35$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.35 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Colorado | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Colorado | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9b…383ebacked Colorado | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Colorado | 36c | 189$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.04 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x902a…f4a6backed Arizona | 64c | 180$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Colorado | 35c | 165.11$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Arizona | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Colorado | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Colorado | 36c | 150$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…a2c6backed Arizona | 64c | 120$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Colorado | 38c | 102.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed Colorado | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…3261backed Arizona | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…9826backed Colorado | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…280abacked Colorado | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked Colorado | 14c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked Arizona | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf939…2e92backed Colorado | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Colorado | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…99e8backed Colorado | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed Colorado | 33c | 75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdb…44b8backed Colorado | 37c | 73.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f12…8299backed Arizona | 64c | 72.83$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…b4aebacked Colorado | 37c | 69$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked Arizona | 65c | 61.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.9 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb43…9d70backed Colorado | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…cd3abacked Colorado | 36c | 41.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…aaa5backed Arizona | 65c | 39.98$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e01…d243backed Colorado | 37c | 39.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…3c8cbacked Arizona | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed Arizona | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…04f8backed Arizona | 64c | 36.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7366…91dabacked Arizona | 64c | 30.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Arizona | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x148d…9001backed Arizona | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7995…2b6bbacked Colorado | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…5a99backed Colorado | 37c | 27.38$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb4…1233backed Arizona | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…75a1backed Arizona | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a73…9daabacked Arizona | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Arizona vs. Coloradothis page
- Arizona vs. Colorado: O/U 53.5Over won
- O/U 52.5Over won
- Spread: Arizona (-4.5)Arizona won
- Spread: Arizona (-5.5)Arizona won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.