NFL · resolved market
Falcons vs. Patriots
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa50a5666e3223fce4e8ce2bd3f3f3205c4e7b25e7d8ed6178c8722504f0f702
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Patriotsof Falcons, Patriots
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,115,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,173,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,115,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Falcons | 31c | 294,522$92,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,301.86 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Patriots | 68c | 262,017$178,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,897.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Patriots | 68c | 73,089$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,088.32 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots | 68c | 62,399$42,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,726.67 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Falcons | 33c | 50,000$16,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,500 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Patriots | 73c | 40,800$29,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,052.62 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Falcons | 34c | 39,688$13,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,473.38 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Falcons | 31c | 38,042$11,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,882.25 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Falcons | 32c | 30,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 195 | 53.8%105 W · 90 L | +16.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Falcons | 10c | 22,957$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.15 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Falcons | 31c | 17,915$5,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,512.55 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Falcons | 11c | 17,534$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.39 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Patriots | 68c | 13,687$9,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.72 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Falcons | 31c | 12,662$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,925.22 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Falcons | 31c | 12,506$3,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,880.13 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Falcons | 34c | 12,222$4,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,155.46 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Patriots | 67c | 11,895$7,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.83 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Falcons | 32c | 10,938$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Falcons | 12c | 10,478$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.7 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Falcons | 33c | 10,400$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,432 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Falcons | 32c | 9,375$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Patriots | 70c | 7,915$5,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,343.25 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Falcons | 31c | 7,784$2,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,385.23 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Falcons | 23c | 7,479$1,706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,706 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Falcons | 32c | 7,400$2,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,368 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383d…a9f2backed Patriots | 68c | 7,230$4,916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,313.62 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Patriots | 70c | 7,143$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,142.86 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Falcons | 14c | 7,099$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Falcons | 32c | 7,078$2,265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,264.96 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Falcons | 33c | 6,851$2,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,260.97 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Patriots | 69c | 6,169$4,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.26 | 249 | 57%142 W · 107 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Patriots | 68c | 6,101$4,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.45 | 412 | 48.5%200 W · 212 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Falcons | 15c | 5,660$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 52 | 23.1%12 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Patriots | 76c | 5,532$4,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.59 | 419 | 47.3%198 W · 221 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b3…490ebacked Falcons | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d1…4660backed Falcons | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | +13.9wins | +0.13per pick | 10cpaid | +428.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Patriots | 68c | 5,000$3,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Patriots | 75c | 4,422$3,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.56 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Patriots | 68c | 4,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…1ebebacked Patriots | 70c | 3,573$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071.87 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Falcons | 30c | 3,484$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.57 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Falcons | 22c | 3,480$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.8 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Patriots | 62c | 3,468$2,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.51 | 192 | 35.4%68 W · 124 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff9…bb89backed Patriots | 76c | 3,327$2,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.4 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Patriots | 67c | 3,300$2,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Falcons | 32c | 3,261$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.51 | 229 | 50.2%115 W · 114 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Patriots | 67c | 3,184$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.44 | 313 | 50.2%157 W · 156 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Falcons | 31c | 2,960$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.54 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Patriots | 54c | 2,872$1,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.09 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Falcons | 33c | 2,594$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.46 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Patriots | 72c | 2,401$1,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.72 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Patriots | 66c | 2,273$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.73 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Patriots | 69c | 2,261$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.83 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb256…b6dfbacked Falcons | 23c | 2,197$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.72 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +13.5wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Falcons | 30c | 2,040$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Patriots | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 171 | 44.4%76 W · 95 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed Patriots | 78c | 1,963$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Patriots | 66c | 1,820$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Falcons | 23c | 1,800$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Falcons | 31c | 1,800$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564 | 276 | 33.3%92 W · 184 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Falcons | 32c | 1,800$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.59 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Falcons | 32c | 1,750$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…dd18backed Patriots | 69c | 1,733$1,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Falcons | 31c | 1,628$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.68 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Falcons | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 131 | 45.8%60 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Falcons | 5c | 1,585$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 196 | 9.2%18 W · 178 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Falcons | 18c | 1,576$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.92 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Falcons | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 163 | 44.8%73 W · 90 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Falcons | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Falcons | 32c | 1,532$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.24 | 244 | 56.6%138 W · 106 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Patriots | 66c | 1,530$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.3 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6f…014ebacked Falcons | 33c | 1,515$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc96c…0fb2backed Falcons | 24c | 1,477$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked Patriots | 78c | 1,451$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.81 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35de…b39abacked Falcons | 28c | 1,415$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Falcons | 20c | 1,317$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.44 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Falcons | 23c | 1,312$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Patriots | 69c | 1,291$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.37 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf0…c907backed Falcons | 25c | 1,234$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.09 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Falcons | 31c | 1,204$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.24 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3014…dcddbacked Patriots | 68c | 1,176$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.47 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…eaabbacked Falcons | 12c | 1,158$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb42…4bc1backed Falcons | 11c | 1,151$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.95 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Falcons | 1c | 1,143$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.98 | 431 | 1.6%7 W · 424 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -82.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Falcons | 16c | 1,100$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Patriots | 76c | 1,077$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.23 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Falcons | 31c | 1,050$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Falcons | 1c | 1,034$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 148 | 6.8%10 W · 138 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 2cpaid | +296.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…ffccbacked Patriots | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.41 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f08…4645backed Falcons | 8c | 1,013$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Falcons | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Patriots | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…078abacked Patriots | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6868…08d7backed Falcons | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Falcons | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 47.5%67 W · 74 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Patriots | 69c | 843$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Patriots | 71c | 836.08$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.46 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Falcons | 11c | 758.59$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.6 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…704cbacked Patriots | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Falcons | 21c | 709.77$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.73 | 310 | 56.8%176 W · 134 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Falcons vs. Patriotsthis page
- Falcons vs. Patriots: 1H MoneylinePatriots won
- Falcons vs. Patriots: O/U 44.5Over won
- Falcons vs. Patriots: O/U 45.5Over won
- Falcons vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5Over won
- Spread: Patriots (-2.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Patriots (-4.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Patriots (-5.5)Falcons won
- Spread: Patriots (-6.5)Falcons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.