TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Falcons vs. Patriots

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Patriotsof Falcons, Patriots
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,115,443
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,173,316

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,115,443 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 377 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb744…5210backed Falcons31c294,522$92,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92,301.8617041.8%71 W · 99 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Patriots68c262,017$178,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,897.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-34.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed88…f3c4backed Patriots68c73,089$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,088.328344.6%37 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Patriots68c62,399$42,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,726.6720755.1%114 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Falcons33c50,000$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,50014342%60 W · 83 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Patriots73c40,800$29,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,052.6247738.6%184 W · 293 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Falcons34c39,688$13,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,473.383040%12 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Falcons31c38,042$11,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,882.2530743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd38b…5029backed Falcons32c30,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60019553.8%105 W · 90 L+16.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+23.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Falcons10c22,957$2,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,277.1520026%52 W · 148 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Falcons31c17,915$5,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,512.5512144.6%54 W · 67 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Falcons11c17,534$1,966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.391618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-67.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Patriots68c13,687$9,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,329.7233553.4%179 W · 156 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1496…a429backed Falcons31c12,662$3,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.2227454.7%150 W · 124 L+13.3wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Falcons31c12,506$3,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,880.131,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Falcons34c12,222$4,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,155.4617454.6%95 W · 79 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eb3…f766backed Patriots67c11,895$7,979 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,915.837248.6%35 W · 37 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Falcons32c10,938$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5004546.7%21 W · 24 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Falcons12c10,478$1,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,218.730043.7%131 W · 169 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Falcons33c10,400$3,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,43231240.7%127 W · 185 L-22.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Falcons32c9,375$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00013142%55 W · 76 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Patriots70c7,915$5,571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,343.2550242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Falcons31c7,784$2,385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,385.2344652.9%236 W · 210 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Falcons23c7,479$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70631543.2%136 W · 179 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Falcons32c7,400$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,36812944.2%57 W · 72 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x383d…a9f2backed Patriots68c7,230$4,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.626349.2%31 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Patriots70c7,143$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,142.865464.8%35 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Falcons14c7,099$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.561148.6%297 W · 314 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Falcons32c7,078$2,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,264.965837.9%22 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Falcons33c6,851$2,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,260.978343.4%36 W · 47 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Patriots69c6,169$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,912.2624957%142 W · 107 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Patriots68c6,101$4,131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,969.4541248.5%200 W · 212 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Falcons15c5,660$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8255223.1%12 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Patriots76c5,532$4,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.5941947.3%198 W · 221 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74b3…490ebacked Falcons33c5,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,65010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Falcons4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011122.5%25 W · 86 L+13.9wins+0.13per pick10cpaid+428.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Patriots68c5,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6003056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd27c…c081backed Patriots75c4,422$3,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.562373.9%17 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick68cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x10b3…40d4backed Patriots68c4,000$2,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3004042.5%17 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x80f0…1ebebacked Patriots70c3,573$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.872864.3%18 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Falcons30c3,484$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.5783447.1%393 W · 441 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45d…a406backed Falcons22c3,480$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.812138.8%47 W · 74 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Patriots62c3,468$2,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.5119235.4%68 W · 124 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-35%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ff9…bb89backed Patriots76c3,327$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.49952.5%52 W · 47 L-7.4wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Patriots67c3,300$2,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08914757.1%84 W · 63 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Falcons32c3,261$1,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,048.5122950.2%115 W · 114 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4d45…9054backed Patriots67c3,184$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.4431350.2%157 W · 156 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x81e4…6f22backed Falcons31c2,960$918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.542744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Patriots54c2,872$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,321.096240.3%25 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Falcons33c2,594$849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.462540%10 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Patriots72c2,401$1,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.728532.9%28 W · 57 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Patriots66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.7310648.1%51 W · 55 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe81…5fe9backed Patriots69c2,261$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$700.834955.1%27 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb256…b6dfbacked Falcons23c2,197$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.728659.3%51 W · 35 L+13.5wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+39%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Falcons30c2,040$612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61283147.8%397 W · 434 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed Patriots70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60017144.4%76 W · 95 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Patriots78c1,963$1,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.93366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfadc…472ebacked Patriots66c1,820$1,201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.81457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick65cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Falcons23c1,800$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40614438.9%56 W · 88 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Falcons31c1,800$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56427633.3%92 W · 184 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb40…a284backed Falcons32c1,800$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.5914443.8%63 W · 81 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Falcons32c1,750$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56026547.2%125 W · 140 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c37…dd18backed Patriots69c1,733$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae5…53c8backed Falcons31c1,628$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.685143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb14…bd17backed Falcons31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013145.8%60 W · 71 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Falcons5c1,585$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.471969.2%18 W · 178 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-67.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Falcons18c1,576$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.9264747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Falcons32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016344.8%73 W · 90 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Falcons32c1,563$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006459.4%38 W · 26 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+38.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Falcons32c1,532$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.2424456.6%138 W · 106 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x236d…5e45backed Patriots66c1,530$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.31258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c6f…014ebacked Falcons33c1,515$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.956233.9%21 W · 41 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-25.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc96c…0fb2backed Falcons24c1,477$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-61.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc443…bbdbbacked Patriots78c1,451$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.814100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35de…b39abacked Falcons28c1,415$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40020143.3%87 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Falcons20c1,317$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.442934.5%10 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+46.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Falcons23c1,312$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004440.9%18 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick32cpaid+27.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Patriots69c1,291$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.3753348.4%258 W · 275 L+1.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf0…c907backed Falcons25c1,234$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.0940%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked Falcons31c1,204$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.241353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick34cpaid+82.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3014…dcddbacked Patriots68c1,176$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.47837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3a3…eaabbacked Falcons12c1,158$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcb42…4bc1backed Falcons11c1,151$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.951338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Falcons1c1,143$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.984311.6%7 W · 424 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-82.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…837dbacked Falcons16c1,100$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1767147.9%34 W · 37 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Patriots76c1,077$821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2327348.7%133 W · 140 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Falcons31c1,050$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.511254.5%61 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Falcons1c1,034$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.341486.8%10 W · 138 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick2cpaid+296.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x086a…ffccbacked Patriots68c1,029$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.41475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f08…4645backed Falcons8c1,013$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Falcons15c1,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15036246.7%169 W · 193 L-7.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Patriots68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3207558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…078abacked Patriots68c1,000$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+37.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6868…08d7backed Falcons31c1,000$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-37.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Falcons11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014147.5%67 W · 74 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Patriots69c843$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.334645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x20e5…082abacked Patriots71c836.08$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.462171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Falcons11c758.59$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.627644.2%122 W · 154 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc51a…704cbacked Patriots68c735.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.291833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+27.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Falcons21c709.77$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.7331056.8%176 W · 134 L+16.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.