NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Kings
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc32a7c41b9162ddb0b60e65c337960b8d1b4d6c98cd1d6a813f7740967d4cc31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Kings
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,889,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,097,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,889,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Kings | 37c | 111,066$41,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,184.09 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a1…e03abacked Grizzlies | 59c | 84,167$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,167.41 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Grizzlies | 58c | 80,000$46,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,599.97 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kings | 31c | 60,000$18,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,599.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…c582backed Grizzlies | 54c | 55,456$29,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,492.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…ded1backed Kings | 44c | 53,579$23,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,500 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kings | 42c | 47,150$20,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,016.59 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Grizzlies | 59c | 42,350$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,349.53 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…ea39backed Kings | 38c | 35,515$13,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,650.1 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kings | 37c | 33,309$12,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,376.82 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kings | 41c | 33,000$13,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,679.91 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Kings | 42c | 32,581$13,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,712.68 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e88…28e6backed Grizzlies | 64c | 32,095$20,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,714.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kings | 45c | 28,261$12,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,817.51 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Grizzlies | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,749.98 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Kings | 41c | 24,247$9,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,941.22 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Grizzlies | 46c | 21,825$9,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,857.51 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…8412backed Grizzlies | 61c | 20,747$12,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,059.46 | 72 | 59.7%43 W · 29 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Grizzlies | 76c | 17,039$13,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,009.42 | 478 | 56.5%270 W · 208 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Grizzlies | 55c | 16,580$9,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,403.18 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Kings | 23c | 16,000$3,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,646.67 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kings | 43c | 15,977$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.71 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Kings | 42c | 15,706$6,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,639.28 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kings | 37c | 14,826$5,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,518.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Kings | 18c | 14,014$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e47…c088backed Grizzlies | 57c | 13,517$7,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,812.21 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 13,475$8,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800.28 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kings | 45c | 12,761$5,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,782.26 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 10,194$6,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,193.63 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Kings | 34c | 10,175$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.62 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…edbbbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 9,400$5,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 9,085$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.99 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Grizzlies | 58c | 8,621$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,620.69 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x387c…57b3backed Kings | 41c | 8,572$3,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Kings | 43c | 8,294$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.42 | 446 | 48%214 W · 232 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2efc…da7cbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 8,239$4,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,460.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988e…8b2abacked Kings | 42c | 8,226$3,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,454.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Kings | 40c | 8,160$3,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,258.32 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Grizzlies | 66c | 7,918$5,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,692.12 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kings | 33c | 7,815$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,617.21 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Kings | 43c | 7,587$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.14 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Kings | 44c | 7,354$3,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,217.63 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Grizzlies | 55c | 6,870$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,106.31 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Kings | 42c | 6,705$2,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.31 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Kings | 42c | 6,515$2,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,736.3 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 41c | 6,362$2,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,612.48 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…af58backed Kings | 21c | 6,054$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.43 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +15%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies | 57c | 5,870$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,524 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Grizzlies | 43c | 5,800$2,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…1310backed Grizzlies | 67c | 5,782$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,921.1 | 152 | 74.3%113 W · 39 L | +22.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Kings | 35c | 5,455$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.58 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Kings | 51c | 5,303$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kings | 41c | 5,075$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.75 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Kings | 43c | 5,000$2,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,139.99 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 65c | 4,826$3,152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Kings | 42c | 4,701$1,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,957.91 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1517…5b34backed Kings | 37c | 4,574$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,687.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…a1d8backed Kings | 42c | 4,281$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.01 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb3…d38ebacked Kings | 43c | 4,212$1,826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,825.53 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 4,176$2,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.97 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Kings | 42c | 4,155$1,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,745 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Grizzlies | 57c | 4,000$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60db…b95fbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 3,829$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,692.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7f…9eedbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 3,800$2,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,634 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Grizzlies | 58c | 3,511$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.99 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Grizzlies | 58c | 3,394$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.63 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Kings | 38c | 3,333$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266.54 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccc…7e7cbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 3,224$1,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Grizzlies | 73c | 3,074$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.88 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Kings | 42c | 3,044$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.46 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed Grizzlies | 54c | 3,024$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.6 | 77 | 64.9%50 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kings | 41c | 3,000$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.69 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7320…28b4backed Kings | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Grizzlies | 58c | 3,000$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306a…0d29backed Grizzlies | 58c | 3,000$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1013…87d5backed Grizzlies | 54c | 2,781$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.63 | 88 | 63.6%56 W · 32 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd486…1705backed Grizzlies | 70c | 2,736$1,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.4 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +130.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kings | 42c | 2,719$1,144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,144.13 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Kings | 43c | 2,649$1,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.08 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…93a2backed Grizzlies | 58c | 2,586$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +182.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6825…b757backed Kings | 43c | 2,558$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Grizzlies | 75c | 2,530$1,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.38 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Kings | 41c | 2,500$1,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,025 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,453$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.83 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Grizzlies | 53c | 2,333$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.6 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Grizzlies | 66c | 2,322$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.47 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Kings | 42c | 2,300$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kings | 44c | 2,262$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.41 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…88dbbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 2,218$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d3…c5afbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 2,209$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.62 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0425…9b90backed Grizzlies | 58c | 2,209$1,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.62 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Kings | 42c | 2,197$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.6 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kings | 42c | 2,168$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.99 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Kings | 37c | 2,164$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c92…b9c9backed Kings | 43c | 2,140$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.29 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +28%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4acb…87babacked Kings | 43c | 2,140$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.29 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…f7aabacked Grizzlies | 58c | 2,109$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.91 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Kings | 41c | 2,094$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.49 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Grizzlies | 58c | 2,069$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.97 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Kingsthis page
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 230.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 231.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 232.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 233.5Under won
- Grizzlies vs. Kings: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Grizzlies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.