NBA · resolved market
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f2426eafce3947fa76be96e1baefc7b3074dfe7eb3fc20cdc9c11e4a3a33e18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thunderof Thunder, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,139,770
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,285,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,139,770 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 344 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Trail Blazers | 17c | 64,991$10,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,869.36 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 47,974$7,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,196.05 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 44,032$9,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,327.78 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 30,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 22,000$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,529.97 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 20,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.94 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 18,362$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 14,740$2,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,003.83 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 14,412$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.32 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 13,381$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.74 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 13,287$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,832.47 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 13,209$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.92 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 11,523$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.97 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Thunder | 77c | 10,863$8,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,513.93 | 736 | 49.9%367 W · 369 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…49d8backed Trail Blazers | 2c | 10,819$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.83 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 10,540$1,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.49 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 9,657$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.49 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 9,314$1,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.57 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 8,560$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.47 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 7,999$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.79 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Thunder | 77c | 7,926$6,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.84 | 98 | 68.4%67 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 7,747$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.12 | 267 | 53.2%142 W · 125 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 7,260$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.66 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Thunder | 75c | 7,000$5,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 443 | 37.9%168 W · 275 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca5a…7e43backed Thunder | 70c | 6,600$4,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 6,560$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.09 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 5,573$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688.33 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Thunder | 78c | 5,102$3,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.41 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Thunder | 77c | 4,972$3,825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.65 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4b…b327backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 4,802$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.59 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 4,764$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.32 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 4,550$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Thunder | 76c | 4,338$3,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025.78 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef72…5295backed Trail Blazers | 21c | 4,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 3,904$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 3,724$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.24 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…1a87backed Thunder | 78c | 3,684$2,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 3,590$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.11 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 3,299$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.83 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 3,254$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.52 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd167…7e52backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 3,200$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Trail Blazers | 19c | 3,195$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.56 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1a…1b70backed Thunder | 76c | 3,100$2,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 3,076$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.88 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 2,888$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.96 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 2,829$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.23 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac1…a0f2backed Thunder | 75c | 2,738$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.81 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 2,643$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.99 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…bdf7backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 2,600$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Trail Blazers | 1c | 2,550$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 2,369$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.94 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 2,305$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.31 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…733ebacked Trail Blazers | 27c | 2,118$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.8 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 2,113$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.2 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 76c | 2,100$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 2,015$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.8 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…335ebacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Trail Blazers | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc4…0270backed Thunder | 76c | 1,978$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.05 | 277 | 45.8%127 W · 150 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 1,867$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.04 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 80c | 1,715$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.39 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,684$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0986…9c4bbacked Trail Blazers | 28c | 1,676$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.71 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Trail Blazers | 10c | 1,641$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.12 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcad…c851backed Thunder | 77c | 1,592$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.17 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,564$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 158 | 38.6%61 W · 97 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa316…98d8backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 1,506$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.99 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…462fbacked Thunder | 80c | 1,453$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.58 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4862…1a17backed Trail Blazers | 11c | 1,404$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4f…37b8backed Thunder | 76c | 1,358$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.02 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,339$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.28 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 1,328$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 80 | 43.8%35 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489f…2be9backed Trail Blazers | 16c | 1,320$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Trail Blazers | 26c | 1,308$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.47 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c10…8977backed Thunder | 78c | 1,269$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.26 | 623 | 47.7%297 W · 326 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Thunder | 78c | 1,210$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.41 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,160$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,133$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 240 | 48.3%116 W · 124 L | -13.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,133$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.23 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 1,110$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.29 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe34…e166backed Trail Blazers | 9c | 1,099$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 37.2%194 W · 327 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Trail Blazers | 2c | 1,048$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…315fbacked Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,041$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 76c | 1,002$764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.82 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ffa…241dbacked Trail Blazers | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf28…72aabacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 133 | 18.8%25 W · 108 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked Trail Blazers | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Trail Blazers | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Trail Blazers | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 256 | 42.6%109 W · 147 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdd…5905backed Thunder | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea61…cc32backed Trail Blazers | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2b…3994backed Thunder | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea66…4824backed Trail Blazers | 13c | 999.98$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 20cpaid | +136.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Trail Blazers | 14c | 976.13$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.66 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…476fbacked Trail Blazers | 13c | 969.23$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3605…1ae1backed Thunder | 78c | 940.92$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.34 | 230 | 43%99 W · 131 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0480…0a91backed Trail Blazers | 25c | 933.1$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazersthis page
- Spread: Thunder (-11.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Thunder (-12.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Thunder (-13.5)Trail Blazers won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: 1H MoneylineTrail Blazers won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 117.5Under won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 230.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.