TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,057
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$143,455

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,057 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x057a…3bacbacked No38c12,718$4,816 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,815.6112050.8%61 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes67c12,050$8,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,002.1548144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcdc…500dbacked Yes67c11,862$7,947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked No33c10,268$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-24.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No34c10,256$3,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,456.2824657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No36c7,931$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.752,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No14c5,788$819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$819.321,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes68c4,422$3,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,419.072100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+69.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No34c4,351$1,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,479.4217543.4%76 W · 99 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No33c4,090$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.342835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No34c3,348$1,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,134.8320143.8%88 W · 113 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No34c3,057$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.1113754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No34c2,995$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.889651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes66c2,869$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.665538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed No48c2,837$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.771457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No34c2,497$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.616154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeadc…e41dbacked Yes66c2,273$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.73520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-69.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No22c2,200$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4823447.1%16 W · 18 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick31cpaid+169.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes62c1,994$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.512646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…4541backed Yes68c1,744$1,186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No33c1,710$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.184757.4%27 W · 20 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No23c1,700$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38423244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes64c1,642$1,055 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.0524939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No46c1,508$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.4232843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdda2…4375backed No34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.96966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes67c1,119$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+18.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked No47c1,065$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.4660%0 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes67c1,041$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Yes53c1,020$541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.425761.4%35 W · 22 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+10.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e49…63f2backed No33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33020827.9%58 W · 150 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x22ed…002bbacked No36c952.78$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3431752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+34.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No46c890$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.428445.4%129 W · 155 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No36c798.13$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28840%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x511a…9745backed Yes66c757.58$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.581275%9 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes67c746.27$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.271553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0971…83abbacked Yes68c728.78$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.78683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick64cpaid+22.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes66c686.52$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.525451.9%28 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No33c643.32$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.31637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes68c630.18$428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.951154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes65c603.13$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.941943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes65c538.46$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.46580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+55.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bf2…f1c6backed Yes66c521.29$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.24250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…3f82backed Yes67c517.42$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.75540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick63cpaid-42.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No33c503.22$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.8228556.1%160 W · 125 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes67c500$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1652853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes55c472$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.8624238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34c7…66a3backed Yes67c459.54$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick67cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c11…e56dbacked Yes66c456.5$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.21580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes66c454.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.5510259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.768858%51 W · 37 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes55c429.18$234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.8859240.7%241 W · 351 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Yes50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1543…623cbacked Yes68c398.44$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.532740.7%11 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed No46c392$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.321540%6 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No45c378.75$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.449149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Yes67c373.13$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.132360.9%14 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick70cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No34c350.62$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.723020%6 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-37.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Yes68c347.24$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1212035.8%43 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-23.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x40cd…627fbacked Yes55c345.85$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.63850%4 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fba…1404backed Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.693351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f91…9388backed Yes66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.032128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-40.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9912540%50 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x227c…ee3fbacked Yes65c282.33$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.814367.4%29 W · 14 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes66c272.73$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.736550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No36c259.86$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.529643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Yes60c250.75$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.31100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf31…2931backed Yes67c243.7$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.742045%9 W · 11 L-3.7wins-0.18per pick63cpaid-31.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x456b…eb7ebacked Yes56c235$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf4d…a9f3backed Yes68c234.99$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.25100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+49%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes66c215.15$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.153250%16 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes54c210$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.48958.4%52 W · 37 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd595…b30bbacked Yes66c200$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$681100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No35c199.8$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3210260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2cab…e9c4backed Yes51c196.04$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.061060%6 W · 4 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9493…7988backed No37c189.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.14126.8%11 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No33c180.47$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6028458.1%165 W · 119 L+12.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x91ac…a9e7backed Yes66c177.27$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.27580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Yes66c176$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.292737%10 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes68c167.06$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes67c165.6$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.653438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4f6…dc27backed Yes61c162.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.135343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes66c162.12$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.125754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a26…7395backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Yes66c160$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x364c…7dc8backed Yes66c156$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked Yes55c154.55$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc9e…19ddbacked Yes65c153.36$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.36475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes66c153.09$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.05650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-21.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Yes67c152.24$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2412565.6%82 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Yes66c151.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.671560%9 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefd0…9fc7backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.58620.9%18 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick21cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes67c149.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.311838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.255856.9%33 W · 25 L+7.6wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+39.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbc89…d22ebacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.251650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe052…3108backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+59.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa7b5…83e3backed Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.