TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$180,699
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$222,977

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $180,699 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 232 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes61c32,997$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,996.61425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-58.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed No40c26,552$10,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,711.8311848.3%57 W · 61 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No39c19,738$7,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,769.2324657.3%141 W · 105 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed No16c12,859$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed No41c7,114$2,916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,916.312835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes59c6,243$3,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.475538.2%21 W · 34 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c4,736$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.232,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes55c3,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3503630.6%11 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-39.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2004658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+21.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No40c2,341$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.3638744.7%173 W · 214 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked Yes46c2,190$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.662100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No36c2,167$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.2496942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes64c2,108$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752.232843.6%143 W · 185 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No48c2,000$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$968.9824939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b03…9380backed Yes60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No6c1,500$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85565.4%3 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+97.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No54c1,400$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7569149.5%45 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+110.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes53c1,350$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.369154.9%50 W · 41 L+8.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+27.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacd9…cb54backed No41c1,222$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.02728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-53.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes55c1,149$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.056046.7%28 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a8…81f5backed Yes46c1,086$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.42540%10 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c1,022$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.41,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes48c1,018$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.8824238.4%93 W · 149 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No4c1,016$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.613417.6%6 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+54.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No41c1,000$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4104136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes52c1,000$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48011837.3%44 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36ea…be40backed No39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick26cpaid+316.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2232…f6fabacked Yes60c1,000$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+46.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6868…08d7backed Yes59c999.96$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.98475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+62%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa1…70c5backed Yes80c977$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.41030%3 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.25per pick55cpaid-42%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No40c966.68$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.716154%87 W · 74 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2dd…1b7cbacked Yes54c911.28$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No40c858.67$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.219651%49 W · 47 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes59c791.99$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.7244753.5%239 W · 208 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes46c762$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4128957.3%51 W · 38 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed No41c750$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No39c700$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27311832.2%38 W · 80 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf092…4ebabacked Yes59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.97666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes55c672.22$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302.222646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No9c552.21$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0313754%74 W · 63 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78e4…f252backed Yes79c549.66$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.361100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes54c541$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.863043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2455028%14 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x97f4…d3e6backed Yes55c454.97$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.89666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes56c446.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.321154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes50c444$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cd2…f9a6backed Yes60c416.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.672751.9%14 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd31c…dac9backed Yes40c400$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2403735.1%13 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No40c399.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1602433.3%8 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dc4…fbb3backed Yes60c372$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Yes60c366.67$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6710259.8%61 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…b8bdbacked Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes60c331.65$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.65683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+75.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes60c323.77$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.511442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1203938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Yes53c300$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.51838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf99d…f867backed Yes59c299.99$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1236056.7%34 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes60c289$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.613840.6%56 W · 82 L-8.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes59c276.48$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.363250%16 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes60c260$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10414254.2%77 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91aa…fef2backed Yes60c251.1$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6004…6ecabacked Yes56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005560%33 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x666f…d6a0backed Yes62c241.94$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.94633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf075…6e4abacked Yes60c227$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa740…c7c7backed Yes60c225.4$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6b1…c973backed Yes33c201.85$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+77.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e82…4d9ebacked No41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809440.4%38 W · 56 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806264.5%40 W · 22 L+7.4wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+27.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No40c199.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9912049.2%59 W · 61 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No39c189.18$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.629643.8%42 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No39c183.63$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6233357.4%191 W · 142 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Yes59c170$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.76946.4%32 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7a4…0ea6backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f76…e72bbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…07d4backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.67666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.674443.2%19 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes55c165.45$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.457337%27 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e39…dbf1backed Yes62c164.56$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc35…d905backed No63c164.1$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.0320%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.9315357.5%88 W · 65 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes48c160$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.212422.6%28 W · 96 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-32.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Yes59c156.67$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.821353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes79c153.5$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.22per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed No48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-22.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No41c150$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.51566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b1d…6a8bbacked Yes60c150$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605754.4%31 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6f45…5e8fbacked Yes58c142.04$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ffd…7530backed Yes51c137.39$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8097…8a5fbacked Yes60c134.7$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.883438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ccb…7c48backed Yes60c130$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+34.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No46c125.4$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5110260.8%62 W · 40 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Yes59c120.55$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.431457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486553.8%35 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.