Serie A · resolved market
Will Fiorentina win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4186fefe8e2029f7f8ad6a073320ef71235d2e6d0779ac4c739e6b300502d512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 46c | 7,215$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,900.53 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 5,221$2,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.04 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 61c | 5,020$3,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,060.56 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 30c | 5,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 57c | 3,000$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 40c | 2,786$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.34 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…39c0backed No | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,391.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed No | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed Yes | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 42c | 1,637$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.32 | 249 | 39.4%98 W · 151 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 58c | 1,594$928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.43 | 447 | 53.5%239 W · 208 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 61c | 1,300$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 58c | 922$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.24 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1154…0d31backed Yes | 57c | 800$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 58c | 665.77$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.13 | 419 | 43.9%184 W · 235 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 58c | 629.56$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.13 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked No | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Yes | 59c | 576.27$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 58c | 519.81$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.49 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 58c | 516.1$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 55 | 25.5%14 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 56c | 499.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.49 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Yes | 27c | 450$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9117…cecabacked Yes | 58c | 368.97$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 367.51$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.91 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes | 56c | 358$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 60c | 335$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x666f…d6a0backed Yes | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 58c | 295.19$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.21 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -74%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 56c | 292$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.52 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 58c | 258.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 131 | 37.4%49 W · 82 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 42c | 250$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 57c | 231$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.23 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 53c | 224.37$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.87 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 43c | 206.77$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…89babacked Yes | 58c | 171.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…3d2cbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 42c | 169.05$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.05 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507c…e186backed No | 76c | 168.42$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed No | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 81 | 69.1%56 W · 25 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 61c | 146.97$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 43c | 136$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 57c | 125.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 58c | 113.1$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.6 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 57c | 113$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.41 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Yes | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a50…ff53backed Yes | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…a80dbacked No | 42c | 99.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 42c | 96.05$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 58c | 90.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.65 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 56c | 90.34$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 116 | 66.4%77 W · 39 L | +14.6wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 138 | 40.6%56 W · 82 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 57c | 90$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…da0bbacked Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x834b…1fa7backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 58c | 79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…e6b7backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.73 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 54c | 55.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…f5cbbacked Yes | 38c | 52.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffce…c93cbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f1…2d5fbacked Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a0…f967backed Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf914…4a78backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…bc0abacked Yes | 59c | 49.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed No | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a9…b9e9backed Yes | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed No | 44c | 45.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 25c | 43.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa2…c110backed Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d3…0698backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…cd3abacked No | 42c | 40.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 37cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb800…6cecbacked Yes | 57c | 40$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 40c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…d7c1backed Yes | 58c | 37.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…7cb9backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.13per pick | 61cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…2f76backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…0aeebacked Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d0…4201backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +35%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 184 | 59.2%109 W · 75 L | +12.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 43c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.38 | 284 | 58.1%165 W · 119 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf316…b391backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4788…1335backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…2f6dbacked Yes | 42c | 33.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6822…977abacked Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5263…52ccbacked Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Yes | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Fiorentina win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Fiorentina vs. Lecce end in a draw?No won
- Will Lecce win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.