Serie A · resolved market
Will Lecce win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4386d5944810dc17695771eeb2d3d760189933efd2fb684e417aa99bf3718b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,873
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,780
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,873 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 10,260$4,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,092.71 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed No | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 59c | 4,204$2,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 38c | 2,867$1,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.47 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…2421backed Yes | 18c | 2,383$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Yes | 18c | 2,125$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 1,976$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.07 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Yes | 71c | 991$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 64c | 779.99$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Yes | 74c | 520.49$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 16c | 424$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.61 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed No | 38c | 390$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 16c | 371.39$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.11 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked No | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked No | 55c | 300$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…6438backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4f…8921backed Yes | 21c | 250.83$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…0419backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked No | 48c | 207$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2541…10a8backed Yes | 75c | 192.35$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed No | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd98b…58debacked Yes | 17c | 123.82$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…385abacked No | 57c | 88.81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -9.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x844b…2580backed No | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…4895backed Yes | 17c | 82.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 16c | 72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.48 | 481 | 44.1%212 W · 269 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed No | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 16c | 63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…d3ddbacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +170.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…fa9fbacked Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63c0…e18fbacked Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…fe31backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fee…6d03backed No | 44c | 41.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed No | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked No | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ec…eeb0backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x416e…6f5dbacked Yes | 69c | 25.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lecce win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Fiorentina vs. Lecce end in a draw?No won
- Will Fiorentina win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.