TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x63c0…e18f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
65
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: College Football, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$44.23
Thunder vs. Trail Blazersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$2,136.12
Pelicans vs. Mavericksbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Nets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Hornets vs. Pelicansbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.54
Pistons vs. Grizzliesbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+58.7%+$11.75
Bucks vs. Pacersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.82
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+35.1%+$11.98
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Knicksbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
76ers vs. Netsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST1060%6 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Flamengo win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+75.4%+$15.09
Will Red Bull Bragantino vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will CA River Plate win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will SC Internacional vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+49.3%+$14.78
Will CF América win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.25
Will Atlas FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$30.43
Will CF Cruz Azul win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$15.53
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$28.78
All 10 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kent State Golden Flashes vs. Ball Statebacked Kent State Golden Flashes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Georgia Tech vs. NC Statebacked NC State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+33.3%+$11.91
Arkansas State vs. Troybacked Arkansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
Fresno State vs. Boise Statebacked Fresno State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$28.94
Georgia vs. Florida Gatorsbacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+25%+$16.49
Louisville vs. Virginia Techbacked Virginia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
New Mexico vs. UNLVbacked New Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Arizona State vs. Iowa Statebacked Arizona State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$8.17
North Carolina vs. Syracusebacked North Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.9
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.78
Capitals vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$7.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-34.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-35.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 3, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+51.1%+$10.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+46.2%+$46.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cardinals vs. Cowboysbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+25%+$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.