South American Leagues · resolved market
Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49afa1ed99e49994ff36c173b15bfa0614a0e1738307f1e9bf71b9d0e3378687
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,617
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,653
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,617 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 23c | 2,550$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.48 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 2,291$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.63 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 77c | 1,804$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.19 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 40c | 1,703$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.73 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f56…215fbacked Yes | 60c | 1,673$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 1,350$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.48 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 61c | 1,238$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.59 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 853.41$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.51 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed No | 47c | 774.54$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 63c | 769.02$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.76 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 53c | 710$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.61 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 61c | 602$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7deb…7c0abacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…8ec7backed Yes | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x271a…4ffbbacked Yes | 22c | 324.9$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +212.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 44c | 275.93$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.93 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x810c…51cabacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b6…bc8abacked Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 44c | 175$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cee…85dabacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 17c | 138.01$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.55 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed1d…327dbacked Yes | 19c | 106.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.84 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f67…55bfbacked Yes | 57c | 105.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 58c | 93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6640…e3febacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 20c | 66.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00c9…7708backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Yes | 57c | 42.86$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c0…e18fbacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3513…c19dbacked No | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 79c | 19.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will SC Recife vs. EC Juventude end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Recife win on 2025-11-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.