South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Recife win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd3f2d06f77c17ada1c7fdeb7acfbb29f7512b057f873b83e30daa5403d07c6cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,339
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,472
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,339 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 57c | 45,000$25,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,690.06 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 43c | 40,029$17,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,816.31 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31c7…614cbacked Yes | 9c | 4,539$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 2,689$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.66 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 42c | 2,255$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.75 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 1,451$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.56 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 45c | 645$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.45 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked No | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Yes | 55c | 492.86$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.64 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x290f…7e47backed No | 50c | 433.1$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.35 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Yes | 50c | 416$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 47c | 395.05$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33b…bfddbacked Yes | 57c | 389$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd52f…b81ebacked No | 43c | 389$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 44c | 359.09$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.09 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb2…b04cbacked Yes | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…ba79backed No | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 44c | 341.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.11 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked No | 50c | 333$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 49c | 288.16$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fba…1404backed Yes | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x658d…859fbacked Yes | 51c | 224.75$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yes | 52c | 192$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.84 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 57c | 135.86$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.98 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 74c | 96.25$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.38 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 42c | 94.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.62 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9b…529bbacked No | 43c | 86$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53fd…10cabacked Yes | 57c | 86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 53c | 79.96$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.78 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 48c | 78.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 271 | 33.9%92 W · 179 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -9.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 47c | 58.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 56c | 49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 73c | 45.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +8.4wins | +0.20per pick | 54cpaid | +36%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Yes | 51c | 38.12$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Yes | 57c | 24.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd3…1ef6backed Yes | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Recife win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will EC Juventude win on 2025-11-05?Yes won
- Will SC Recife vs. EC Juventude end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.