South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-10-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa7a52558af5554db524584d76736dc845316699093e1eb6342a093ca91d8bc15
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,170
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,170 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb29c…8f19backed Yes | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,950 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 59c | 4,394$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.46 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d5…3926backed No | 62c | 1,707$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 68cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b8…a992backed Yes | 38c | 1,705$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,057.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 58c | 1,293$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.12 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.48 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 61c | 915.62$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.85 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 546$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.37 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 61c | 466.78$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.52 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 61c | 406.98$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.11 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 40c | 248.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.1 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 41c | 242.83$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.24 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 39c | 211.97$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.97 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 58c | 166.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.67 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…aaecbacked No | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.6wins | -0.40per pick | 62cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 65c | 153.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 32c | 133.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.18 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48fd…9450backed Yes | 40c | 105$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 65c | 99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes | 35c | 99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed No | 65c | 92.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Yes | 51c | 78.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16e…dc06backed Yes | 40c | 69.51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +148.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 65c | 60$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe7…2dbcbacked Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0e…4838backed Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x63c0…e18fbacked Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa83…537bbacked Yes | 39c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 39c | 36.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 88 | 29.5%26 W · 62 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…ea43backed No | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 130 | 62.3%81 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…4540backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Rosario Central win on 2025-10-31?this page
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba vs. CA Rosario Central end in a draw?No won
- Will Instituto AC Córdoba win on 2025-10-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.