College Football · resolved market
New Mexico vs. UNLV
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8daa3d18e812e727bf56f811579e7f04db6863d5afe67f61677229c2019d5070
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Mexicoof New Mexico, UNLV
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $149,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $149,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed New Mexico | 39c | 37,332$14,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,772.31 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked UNLV | 61c | 25,625$15,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,626.81 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed UNLV | 64c | 12,500$7,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,997.64 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed New Mexico | 58c | 11,758$6,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.92 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked UNLV | 59c | 10,797$6,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,414.63 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked UNLV | 61c | 10,272$6,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,265.92 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed New Mexico | 36c | 9,846$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,301.66 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed New Mexico | 38c | 7,769$2,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,817 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed UNLV | 62c | 7,719$4,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed New Mexico | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked UNLV | 61c | 7,377$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked New Mexico | 41c | 7,317$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,317.07 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked New Mexico | 39c | 7,200$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,392 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed UNLV | 60c | 6,667$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UNLV | 40c | 4,629$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.74 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed UNLV | 27c | 4,150$1,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,117.5 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed New Mexico | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed New Mexico | 40c | 4,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f3…bde4backed New Mexico | 50c | 3,406$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.34 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +4.6wins | +0.36per pick | 57cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UNLV | 38c | 3,280$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232.14 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b5…b3cabacked UNLV | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 36 | 80.6%29 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 66cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed New Mexico | 36c | 2,775$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776 | 191 | 20.9%40 W · 151 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UNLV | 45c | 2,619$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.2 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked UNLV | 63c | 2,079$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.59 | 494 | 43.7%216 W · 278 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UNLV | 48c | 2,024$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.92 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed New Mexico | 56c | 1,840$1,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.64 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed New Mexico | 40c | 1,828$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.79 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed New Mexico | 37c | 1,800$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.54 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…5577backed New Mexico | 67c | 1,555$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked UNLV | 41c | 1,183$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.55 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UNLV | 41c | 1,168$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.5 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed New Mexico | 66c | 1,067$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.79 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked New Mexico | 39c | 998.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.39 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 40cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed UNLV | 59c | 905.21$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.08 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed New Mexico | 59c | 703.6$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.21 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf0…c907backed UNLV | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +66%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed New Mexico | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dbd…ceeabacked UNLV | 61c | 495.08$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked New Mexico | 40c | 495$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +25%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed New Mexico | 36c | 471$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.4 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed UNLV | 60c | 366.67$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c0…e1e0backed New Mexico | 70c | 365.95$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…54d9backed UNLV | 64c | 312.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8019…df3abacked New Mexico | 38c | 312$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked New Mexico | 39c | 311.44$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.98 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…ac60backed UNLV | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed UNLV | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked UNLV | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed UNLV | 60c | 281$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.6 | 216 | 44.9%97 W · 119 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked New Mexico | 36c | 277.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.76 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked New Mexico | 54c | 242.65$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked UNLV | 61c | 241$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.01 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed UNLV | 37c | 240.94$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.87 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed UNLV | 37c | 225$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed New Mexico | 36c | 207.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked New Mexico | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed New Mexico | 40c | 169$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x525e…3976backed UNLV | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked UNLV | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…152ebacked UNLV | 64c | 155$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5960…d692backed New Mexico | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked New Mexico | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b2…4e0cbacked New Mexico | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed New Mexico | 36c | 149.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.24 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed UNLV | 33c | 144.68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…eaabbacked New Mexico | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked UNLV | 20c | 132.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked UNLV | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c0f…a394backed New Mexico | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked UNLV | 48c | 114$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.92 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd368…1889backed New Mexico | 75c | 106.42$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd1…009bbacked UNLV | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…b74cbacked UNLV | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 258 | 19.8%51 W · 207 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fb…f961backed New Mexico | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf3…8c1cbacked UNLV | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed UNLV | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked UNLV | 64c | 93.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508a…b337backed UNLV | 63c | 90$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed UNLV | 60c | 86.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.84 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3f…2ea7backed New Mexico | 76c | 78.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed New Mexico | 70c | 78.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a0…77d8backed UNLV | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed UNLV | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 67.9%53 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c61…5213backed UNLV | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…fb86backed UNLV | 21c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed New Mexico | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed New Mexico | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked New Mexico | 67c | 67.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed New Mexico | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 293 | 51.9%152 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbb…007bbacked New Mexico | 76c | 65.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked UNLV | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1347…bc3dbacked UNLV | 64c | 54.66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…8ae4backed New Mexico | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked UNLV | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 241 | 57.3%138 W · 103 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9380…a275backed New Mexico | 65c | 48.62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe254…d8fabacked New Mexico | 66c | 47.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…ae4cbacked New Mexico | 50c | 40.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed UNLV | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf35…b327backed UNLV | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b47…5286backed New Mexico | 37c | 39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Mexico vs. UNLVthis page
- New Mexico vs. UNLV: O/U 61.5Over won
- O/U 62.5Over won
- Spread: UNLV (-3.5)New Mexico won
- Spread: UNLV (-4.5)New Mexico won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.