Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f6fb5b39faab6dd1aaa2f670712995bc63b384ed6037b2b70346df9deb68849
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 41c | 1,931$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.46 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 37c | 1,037$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.32 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 861.73$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.45 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 65c | 777.49$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 57c | 408.92$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.6 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a10…7dffbacked Yes | 61c | 264.51$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 33c | 248.75$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.25 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…e6a5backed Yes | 66c | 213.83$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf99d…f867backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 28c | 183.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.9 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 40c | 167.9$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa40f…2fa3backed Yes | 72c | 147.22$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 64c | 145$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b93…05e5backed No | 41c | 134.15$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…b577backed Yes | 61c | 132.95$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 121.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 361 | 36%130 W · 231 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f1…0731backed Yes | 61c | 101.64$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.81 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes | 67c | 82.09$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…a977backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 39c | 62.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.66 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked No | 36c | 61.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b75…4896backed Yes | 61c | 56.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…502abacked Yes | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe758…5eb1backed Yes | 64c | 45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 52c | 42.55$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 33c | 42.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c0…e18fbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 39c | 38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb928…fa64backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…7253backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dea…26d5backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x439f…bdedbacked Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8f…3186backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…f766backed Yes | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd508…2239backed No | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…1008backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…185cbacked Yes | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686a…c769backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…07f1backed Yes | 71c | 22.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 72cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe478…610ebacked Yes | 63c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…ef82backed Yes | 72c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 72cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b1…d9b2backed Yes | 73c | 15.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AEK Lárnakas win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will AEK Lárnakas vs. Aberdeen FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Aberdeen FC win on 2025-11-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.