TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2025-11-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$67,859
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,078

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,859 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes58c20,000$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,4008944.9%40 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No42c15,173$6,373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,372.663348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No43c12,365$5,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,355.291,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Yes57c6,000$3,430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,569.791154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes59c4,542$2,671 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,870.73828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No41c3,817$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.5621560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No41c3,762$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.5213348.9%65 W · 68 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c3,345$1,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,194.411,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No33c2,825$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.6610752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No41c2,446$1,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,013.313050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No39c1,561$609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$608.7414452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No29c1,404$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.7335157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked No40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.971741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+33.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf679…edb3backed Yes59c1,125$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.39425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc190…02aebacked Yes59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.953655.6%20 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3600…606fbacked Yes58c939.99$545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.19450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30e1…2300backed Yes72c938.49$676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c37…0631backed Yes60c827.13$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes61c755.74$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.741346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x23ee…15cbbacked Yes60c750$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick68cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x27df…e67cbacked Yes58c603.45$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.451625%4 W · 12 L-4.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-55.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x922d…d82bbacked Yes59c469.46$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f74…f2a6backed Yes58c370.52$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.62250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2157…5354backed Yes58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0521…cc4abacked Yes59c338.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.981450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…b34bbacked Yes61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.87850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f8e…0a87backed Yes78c320.51$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.51366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick73cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56da…fca2backed Yes58c318.95$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes58c300$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1266320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-43.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes58c274.87$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.871250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9b…5f3ebacked Yes78c256.41$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.412100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x658d…859fbacked Yes59c255.17$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes59c254.34$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.343151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes80c250.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.01580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Yes60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick55cpaid-54.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes58c246.55$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.552343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf9c…8fc7backed Yes59c237.29$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.291656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed Yes59c236.44$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.443557.1%20 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes59c234.83$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.28520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-66.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No41c222.89$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.386842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a92…543dbacked Yes58c215.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Yes59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822737%10 W · 17 L-4.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes60c196.25$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.52254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…a408backed Yes59c195.27$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.06250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4063…0c2bbacked Yes53c194.34$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes58c192.12$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.694372.1%31 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes58c191.76$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.763354.5%18 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes54c186.35$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.441926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes75c178$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6816242%68 W · 94 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x02c7…ee5cbacked Yes56c177.13$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Yes75c175$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.957844.9%35 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b32…8166backed Yes58c173$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5175…1546backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x113f…95a6backed Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.412944.8%13 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…3d2cbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No42c170.98$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.485736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd565…3f5abacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b69…3c31backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.49475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+30.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67dd…6fcebacked Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes73c169.3$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6720232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x76da…30a2backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.673743.2%16 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa65b…0419backed Yes60c166.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5b7…062dbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c84…1093backed Yes80c150.64$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.64862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+19.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes59c135.59$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.592846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed No41c124.99$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2511644.8%52 W · 64 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+13.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f88…e6a5backed Yes59c121.53$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.833100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506648.5%32 W · 34 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes59c118.24$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Yes53c110$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.71060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No41c106.52$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.152832.1%9 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-23.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd002…2ee8backed Yes58c103.45$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.451136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick59cpaid-45.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes58c101.72$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.723053.3%16 W · 14 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.691643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick57cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413040%12 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+77.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9a50…ff53backed Yes59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…0a6dbacked Yes60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428046.3%37 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…3014backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422552%13 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa269…ce6fbacked Yes60c97.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes58c93$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.064930.6%15 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd04a…d7ecbacked Yes55c90.91$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.91450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ed…f9c8backed Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc420…2badbacked Yes59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes78c84.62$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.62450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe68a…5a2bbacked Yes60c83.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick48cpaid-53.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb684…45a0backed Yes69c83.33$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed No27c82.3$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.222326.1%6 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes57c78.97$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.973951.3%20 W · 19 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes59c76.27$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.271957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No41c74.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5126845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No40c73.33$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.3313016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.82060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ea…5595backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38fc…ae50backed Yes59c63.66$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No34c60.61$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.611758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes58c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.26850%34 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.