Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43bdd849294c7864a44abde82242ce8bd443323208c056d7289d9a86feeb0a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,105,457
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,320,417
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,105,457 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,010 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94a4…6356backed No | 43c | 250,000$107,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107,499.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 61c | 163,456$99,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,801.68 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…1149backed Yes | 53c | 122,651$65,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57,342.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…d424backed No | 26c | 111,276$28,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,691.85 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed No | 5c | 100,347$4,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,986.19 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b7…b85cbacked No | 3c | 90,782$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed Yes | 63c | 66,877$42,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,497.32 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…52a8backed No | 0c | 63,073$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…c139backed No | 2c | 61,432$1,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,326.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +73.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…954bbacked No | 2c | 59,880$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 64c | 56,609$35,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,629.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,500 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db7…7e1fbacked No | 9c | 49,373$4,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,351.73 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…df9ebacked No | 2c | 42,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 60c | 41,919$25,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,744.44 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed No | 0c | 41,055$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.29 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 79c | 40,857$32,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,778.69 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 40,539$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.8 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc06a…f31fbacked No | 41c | 37,719$15,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,576.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 58c | 36,164$20,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,264.73 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed No | 16c | 35,069$5,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,745.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 57c | 35,000$19,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,050 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 40c | 32,191$12,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,944.19 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…830abacked No | 3c | 30,994$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7177…ddefbacked Yes | 70c | 30,219$21,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,196.64 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 68c | 27,698$18,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,891.08 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…2a4bbacked No | 10c | 27,253$2,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,649.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e6c…e358backed No | 45c | 26,958$12,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,006.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 33c | 25,328$8,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,477.43 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 57c | 25,000$14,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,750 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked No | 40c | 24,957$10,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,004.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 38c | 23,942$9,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,055.59 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 21,358$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.71 | 61 | 1.6%1 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…8218backed No | 1c | 21,273$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec0…8336backed No | 3c | 21,227$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.47 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d2…2280backed No | 41c | 21,165$8,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,665.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59db…c353backed No | 11c | 21,000$2,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…b501backed No | 1c | 20,690$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c68…f2a8backed No | 2c | 20,139$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb704…dc1ebacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…f412backed No | 31c | 19,374$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 5c | 18,324$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 36c | 18,066$6,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,560.33 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 27c | 18,008$4,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,849.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 76c | 17,068$12,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,143.37 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…ba80backed No | 0c | 15,441$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.46 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -79%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 64c | 15,438$9,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,517.31 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x353c…2af5backed No | 46c | 15,223$6,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,981.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…bfc5backed Yes | 58c | 15,000$8,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,299.96 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 8c | 13,856$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed Yes | 63c | 13,783$8,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 37c | 13,625$5,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,031.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23f2…a919backed No | 26c | 13,356$3,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,534.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9c…73bebacked No | 1c | 13,319$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.78 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff77…4b76backed No | 2c | 11,822$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…16f8backed No | 2c | 11,687$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae1…242abacked No | 0c | 11,548$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 11c | 11,278$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.54 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ca…dc7bbacked No | 14c | 11,000$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 75c | 10,975$8,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,728.51 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4c…16f8backed No | 1c | 10,916$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…24babacked No | 36c | 10,913$3,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,894.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ed…c087backed Yes | 63c | 10,718$6,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,989.85 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 78c | 10,502$8,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 16c | 10,462$1,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,714.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be7…513cbacked No | 44c | 10,425$4,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,567 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b4…64edbacked No | 0c | 10,316$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b8…f6b5backed Yes | 66c | 10,180$6,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,477.62 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 31cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 43c | 10,129$4,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,331.01 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0774…da5dbacked No | 0c | 10,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…b811backed No | 39c | 9,848$3,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,820.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed Yes | 69c | 9,801$6,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.23 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed Yes | 58c | 9,555$5,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,013.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…535bbacked No | 1c | 9,500$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…1601backed Yes | 72c | 9,259$6,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,585.37 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked Yes | 59c | 9,007$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,669.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 1c | 9,000$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Yes | 78c | 8,966$7,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e7…9c38backed No | 4c | 8,700$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…8420backed Yes | 55c | 8,586$4,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,863.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…9b56backed No | 4c | 8,574$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d6…4973backed No | 43c | 8,470$3,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,641.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b64…49bdbacked No | 39c | 8,222$3,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240.57 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 63c | 7,598$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6441…139ebacked No | 30c | 7,523$2,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,276 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 42c | 7,474$3,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,127.54 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 22c | 7,407$1,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,609.18 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 64c | 7,131$4,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,595.75 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +6.9wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf501…8852backed No | 48c | 7,089$3,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,429.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed Yes | 72c | 7,000$5,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.47 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ea…7a3dbacked Yes | 58c | 6,892$4,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,885.1 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72e1…7d89backed No | 36c | 6,813$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed No | 33c | 6,807$2,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,220.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked No | 52c | 6,778$3,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,538.05 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0be…492fbacked No | 24c | 6,404$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 10c | 6,112$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 46c | 5,887$2,728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,728.21 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2034…8daebacked Yes | 59c | 5,800$3,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,394.86 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ca…e680backed No | 35c | 5,714$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed No | 58c | 5,688$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,315.91 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.