NBA · resolved market
Pistons vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x48c8e0f8bdc3f3d0b277418a88e25538f9f7bf61aad6bd098d7821888a711e27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Pistons, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,536,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,544,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,536,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 640 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Pistons | 64c | 1,677,544$1,072,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605,043.94 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb744…5210backed Grizzlies | 36c | 1,361,896$490,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490,291.07 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Grizzlies | 36c | 110,337$39,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,798.98 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Grizzlies | 36c | 67,099$24,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,223.41 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Pistons | 62c | 60,814$37,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,261.36 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Pistons | 63c | 59,056$37,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,969.36 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8652…3ce4backed Grizzlies | 0c | 52,216$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.22 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Pistons | 64c | 50,000$32,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,000 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies | 38c | 41,283$15,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,487.37 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 35,082$12,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,648.51 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 38c | 35,000$13,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,249.91 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 35c | 30,066$10,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,652.13 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 30,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,400 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 0c | 25,033$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…ace5backed Grizzlies | 36c | 22,100$7,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,956 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Grizzlies | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,400 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Grizzlies | 38c | 19,250$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,314.88 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Pistons | 73c | 18,894$13,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,177.84 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Pistons | 62c | 18,750$11,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,125 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Grizzlies | 37c | 18,750$6,938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,937.5 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Grizzlies | 38c | 18,444$7,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,041.92 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Grizzlies | 38c | 17,889$6,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,797.82 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed Grizzlies | 38c | 16,142$6,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,134 | 134 | 55.2%74 W · 60 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons | 65c | 15,385$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,384.62 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Pistons | 62c | 13,000$8,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,940 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Pistons | 20c | 12,800$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,240 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +7.6wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +241.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf686…d7c5backed Grizzlies | 80c | 12,800$10,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,240 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Pistons | 65c | 12,278$7,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,329.97 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Pistons | 62c | 11,111$6,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,222.18 | 159 | 52.2%83 W · 76 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Pistons | 65c | 10,472$6,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,665.31 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Grizzlies | 36c | 10,358$3,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,729 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb377…f621backed Grizzlies | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Grizzlies | 1c | 9,169$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.91 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Grizzlies | 37c | 8,911$3,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,269.89 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 8,260$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.6 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Grizzlies | 30c | 8,006$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.34 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Grizzlies | 0c | 7,770$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 7,604$2,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762.97 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 17c | 7,442$1,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.98 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Grizzlies | 9c | 6,560$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.02 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Grizzlies | 10c | 6,560$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.82 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Grizzlies | 37c | 6,035$2,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,249.32 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Grizzlies | 32c | 6,007$1,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.27 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Grizzlies | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…a53abacked Grizzlies | 38c | 6,000$2,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,280 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf1…6d22backed Pistons | 63c | 6,000$3,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pistons | 63c | 6,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,249.97 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies | 38c | 5,899$2,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,241.55 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Grizzlies | 37c | 5,629$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.64 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191d…99abbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 5,526$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Grizzlies | 37c | 5,353$1,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.18 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…c08abacked Grizzlies | 38c | 5,211$1,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Pistons | 64c | 5,000$3,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,812.97 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…11f7backed Grizzlies | 36c | 4,972$1,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,790 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies | 37c | 4,372$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.75 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Grizzlies | 36c | 4,177$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.6 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Grizzlies | 0c | 4,050$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Pistons | 62c | 4,000$2,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Pistons | 63c | 3,971$2,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.27 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Grizzlies | 22c | 3,857$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$857.13 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Pistons | 62c | 3,797$2,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.91 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Grizzlies | 36c | 3,773$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.88 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Grizzlies | 27c | 3,513$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.14 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Grizzlies | 36c | 3,426$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.5 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Pistons | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 3,120$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.2 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Grizzlies | 38c | 3,050$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Pistons | 63c | 3,024$1,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125.14 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Grizzlies | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Grizzlies | 15c | 3,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fe…74dbbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 2,908$1,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,047 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Grizzlies | 36c | 2,681$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Grizzlies | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 2,381$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.91 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies | 38c | 2,296$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.42 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 7c | 2,270$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.82 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Grizzlies | 20c | 2,250$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.72 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Pistons | 68c | 2,211$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.4 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…472ebacked Grizzlies | 36c | 2,150$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe403…3d50backed Grizzlies | 36c | 2,001$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.72 | 547 | 47.5%260 W · 287 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Pistons | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…305fbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 1,936$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b39…a565backed Pistons | 62c | 1,934$1,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Grizzlies | 37c | 1,903$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.96 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Grizzlies | 27c | 1,874$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.64 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…8062backed Grizzlies | 40c | 1,825$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$730 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdca…5a2cbacked Pistons | 62c | 1,815$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Grizzlies | 29c | 1,776$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.5 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Grizzlies | 35c | 1,700$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.99 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pistons | 62c | 1,641$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.6 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Grizzlies | 37c | 1,620$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 1,615$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.88 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Pistons | 64c | 1,609$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.38 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…65e8backed Grizzlies | 36c | 1,590$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9be…a7edbacked Pistons | 65c | 1,589$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…e74bbacked Pistons | 62c | 1,557$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd19…ed2fbacked Grizzlies | 39c | 1,551$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Grizzlies | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 1,198 | 38.8%465 W · 733 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…793bbacked Grizzlies | 7c | 1,400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Grizzlies | 22c | 1,370$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pistons vs. Grizzliesthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Pistons vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Pistons vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-2.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-3.5)Pistons won
- Spread: Pistons (-4.5)Pistons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.