AI · resolved market
Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7bcd5f62ba835b641dc35add63976f588d134cb125101829407961fb9483610
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $383,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $411,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $383,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6910…1779backed Yes | 30c | 30,084$8,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,146.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe1…4affbacked Yes | 66c | 10,503$6,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4181…de86backed Yes | 42c | 8,685$3,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,003.5 | 88 | 15.9%14 W · 74 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6319…3ba1backed Yes | 57c | 5,738$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,478.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb40…bfdabacked No | 34c | 5,460$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…aa2cbacked Yes | 74c | 5,368$3,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…f067backed No | 34c | 5,180$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 36c | 4,509$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,623.35 | 574 | 26.8%154 W · 420 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 2c | 4,410$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 256 | 0.8%2 W · 254 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 4cpaid | -97.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed No | 14c | 4,382$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.7 | 40 | 20%8 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -67.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…d1c4backed Yes | 51c | 3,906$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 39c | 3,883$1,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,512.38 | 60 | 10%6 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b5…c665backed No | 43c | 3,744$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,605.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 22c | 3,274$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.89 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0c…6b3cbacked Yes | 48c | 3,245$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +87%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8f…97bcbacked Yes | 49c | 3,232$1,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,655.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0049…3a9abacked No | 6c | 3,013$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.39 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed Yes | 31c | 2,925$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030.18 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 18c | 2,797$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.42 | 204 | 18.6%38 W · 166 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…9cd9backed Yes | 39c | 2,763$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 3c | 2,567$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.99 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae5b…0a8cbacked Yes | 37c | 2,470$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,544.1 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 34c | 2,343$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,542.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 20cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4c…ea0cbacked Yes | 28c | 2,230$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.19 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…5903backed Yes | 52c | 2,194$1,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…7e56backed No | 48c | 1,994$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed No | 1c | 1,913$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 1,826$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.48 | 479 | 38%182 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 1,692$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.72 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -7.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Yes | 44c | 1,645$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 69c | 1,631$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.13 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed No | 73c | 1,605$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.54 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…ab20backed Yes | 37c | 1,561$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.57 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 4c | 1,537$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 263 | 12.9%34 W · 229 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,535$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.15 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 19c | 1,528$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.44 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +8.4wins | +0.19per pick | 13cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…1845backed Yes | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.97 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbe…05babacked No | 1c | 1,475$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbea5…c857backed Yes | 62c | 1,450$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.83 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Yes | 33c | 1,360$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd17d…d0eebacked Yes | 45c | 1,353$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741.6 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1773…f4e3backed No | 57c | 1,180$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.62 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d68…402cbacked Yes | 35c | 1,147$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.82 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…d03dbacked Yes | 66c | 1,135$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.41 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed Yes | 29c | 1,098$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.53 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…bb86backed Yes | 34c | 1,064$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc77…c035backed No | 58c | 1,064$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.13 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 59c | 1,062$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.2 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 35c | 1,051$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.95 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a34…a5dcbacked No | 2c | 1,032$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa234…3400backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 217 | 13.4%29 W · 188 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 1c | 999.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce03…5608backed Yes | 77c | 988.02$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x932f…aeb6backed Yes | 49c | 976.2$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb011…2d13backed Yes | 46c | 950$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.69 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d49…4f7cbacked Yes | 44c | 946.04$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 57c | 868.87$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.12 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5e…1773backed Yes | 60c | 831.26$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.26 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245c…2486backed No | 77c | 729.19$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca9…2924backed Yes | 48c | 723.26$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…4535backed Yes | 31c | 635.12$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.75 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…87a4backed Yes | 66c | 629.99$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.3 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 10c | 627.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…f218backed No | 63c | 553.66$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.47 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c44…cf25backed Yes | 55c | 550.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c54…2d86backed Yes | 49c | 521.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 48c | 503.59$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.26 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…1f97backed Yes | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a3b…3035backed Yes | 45c | 500$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…ccb0backed Yes | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3806…f4c4backed No | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…9c68backed Yes | 67c | 497.94$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0a…a3b9backed Yes | 40c | 493.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.84 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…4547backed Yes | 69c | 469.46$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.46 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf79d…4350backed No | 68c | 444.19$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed Yes | 21c | 409.4$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.43 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 14cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdacf…8d11backed Yes | 36c | 408.68$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.48 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6967…84bfbacked Yes | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 76c | 400$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.18per pick | 27cpaid | -88%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 79c | 400$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4f2…5bb5backed Yes | 77c | 400$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…e53ebacked Yes | 69c | 390.2$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…2edabacked No | 75c | 388.74$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.82 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d3…c14bbacked Yes | 18c | 350$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +181.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf43…b321backed Yes | 73c | 349.99$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7b…a54bbacked Yes | 42c | 336.99$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.88 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -63.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9118…c706backed Yes | 60c | 333.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x393e…7b02backed Yes | 52c | 331.98$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 18c | 323.77$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.17 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…ef29backed Yes | 59c | 322.31$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9514…0dd6backed Yes | 60c | 320.72$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22eb…2e2cbacked Yes | 28c | 319$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +254.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…2123backed Yes | 31c | 314.04$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +227%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…ca87backed Yes | 49c | 307.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…9d2dbacked Yes | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908f…5861backed Yes | 70c | 278.29$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fb…89d2backed No | 36c | 275.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Yes | 59c | 275.14$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…a888backed Yes | 75c | 267.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.54 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Apple be the second most valuable company on October 31?this page
- Will Google be the second most valuable company on October 31?No won
- Will Microsoft be the second most valuable company on October 31?No won
- Will NVIDIA be the second most valuable company on October 31?No won
- Will Oracle be the second most valuable company on October 31?No won
- Will Other be the second most valuable company on October 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.