NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc2d3c178aaeb31790ee05de05ec2a3b805e35fb0a6e8fd6291a9f488b4771c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Capitals, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,585
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,993
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,585 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Sabres | 53c | 120,244$64,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,068.22 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 47c | 42,529$19,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,903.95 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Capitals | 48c | 18,772$9,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,009.36 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Capitals | 46c | 16,152$7,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,510.56 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Sabres | 52c | 15,095$7,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,248 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Capitals | 48c | 15,000$7,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,150 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Capitals | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Capitals | 1c | 12,500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Sabres | 52c | 12,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,759.99 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Sabres | 52c | 11,129$5,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,342.09 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Capitals | 47c | 7,407$3,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,479.08 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 46c | 6,134$2,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,821.26 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Capitals | 48c | 5,764$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.83 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Sabres | 51c | 5,178$2,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,537.24 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sabres | 53c | 4,911$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,308.21 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd339…d3a1backed Capitals | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Capitals | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 136 | 55.1%75 W · 61 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Sabres | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 46c | 2,946$1,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Capitals | 46c | 2,723$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,252.58 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Sabres | 68c | 2,685$1,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.94 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Capitals | 46c | 2,582$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.78 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Capitals | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f6…2e01backed Capitals | 46c | 2,000$922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.49 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 45c | 1,922$865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.69 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Capitals | 47c | 1,730$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.99 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2e…b5e5backed Capitals | 47c | 1,730$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Capitals | 47c | 1,490$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.3 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…b7febacked Capitals | 47c | 1,484$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.49 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Sabres | 57c | 1,401$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.24 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Sabres | 54c | 1,254$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.96 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 1,222$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Capitals | 47c | 1,133$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.51 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Sabres | 51c | 1,061$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.71 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Capitals | 46c | 1,054$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.84 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Capitals | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.36 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Capitals | 47c | 1,023$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.03 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Capitals | 47c | 999.99$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Sabres | 52c | 955.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.53 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 46c | 783.55$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.08 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Capitals | 53c | 726$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.91 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Capitals | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Capitals | 48c | 612.29$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.9 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Capitals | 52c | 527.03$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.73 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Sabres | 48c | 522.49$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.7 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 50c | 498.2$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.22 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Capitals | 48c | 492$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.43 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 47c | 463.08$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.19 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Capitals | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Capitals | 35c | 421.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.86 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Capitals | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Capitals | 32c | 377.48$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Sabres | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Sabres | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…acf5backed Sabres | 41c | 372.63$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +146.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Capitals | 47c | 340.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Capitals | 51c | 329.28$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.74 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 46c | 307$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.8 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Sabres | 53c | 300$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Capitals | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Capitals | 23c | 278$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Sabres | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Capitals | 48c | 272.17$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.64 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…4252backed Capitals | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Capitals | 47c | 237.9$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.6 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Sabres | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.77 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Capitals | 53c | 227.13$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.38 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Sabres | 46c | 226.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.59 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Sabres | 55c | 222$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.9 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Capitals | 48c | 220.48$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.83 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x483b…abf9backed Capitals | 48c | 220.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.75 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…aec0backed Capitals | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Sabres | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Capitals | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Capitals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd5…1306backed Capitals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e9…ac60backed Capitals | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Capitals | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed3b…3ebfbacked Sabres | 54c | 193.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c6…90d0backed Sabres | 52c | 190.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Sabres | 45c | 182$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Capitals | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Capitals | 46c | 152.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Capitals | 49c | 152$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.48 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Capitals | 54c | 148.34$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Capitals | 49c | 142.86$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Capitals | 49c | 132.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a7…64bfbacked Capitals | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Capitals | 32c | 120$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 331 | 45%149 W · 182 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed Capitals | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97da…d63bbacked Capitals | 46c | 115$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.9 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Capitals | 55c | 111.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Capitals | 46c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 397 | 57.2%227 W · 170 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Capitals | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,220 | 46.1%562 W · 658 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…c712backed Sabres | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 387 | 44.2%171 W · 216 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Capitals | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed Sabres | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Sabresthis page
- Capitals vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Capitals vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.