NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcf2fe95722034570ce61e6a0dcb3a825605bca1027b44479369beb205542f11
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maple Leafsof Utah, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $911,648
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $952,858
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $911,648 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 485 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Utah | 43c | 218,984$93,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93,870.03 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 91,500$53,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,616.33 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Utah | 43c | 70,071$30,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,340.79 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 70,000$39,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,100 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Utah | 41c | 59,549$24,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,626.08 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Utah | 41c | 51,089$21,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,133.75 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Utah | 43c | 48,903$20,819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,818.55 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 38,755$22,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,441.62 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 31,664$18,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,378.16 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 28,809$16,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,964.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 25,109$14,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,545.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 42c | 18,835$7,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,927.28 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 18,058$10,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,945.46 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 17,803$10,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,548.55 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 16,932$9,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,942.12 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…b006backed Utah | 43c | 16,333$7,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,023.17 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Utah | 42c | 15,445$6,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,429.02 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Utah | 50c | 15,348$7,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,674 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed4c…a986backed Maple Leafs | 50c | 15,348$7,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,674 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 15,210$8,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,308.04 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,449.88 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 13,061$7,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,586.52 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Utah | 42c | 11,905$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200.46 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…f152backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Utah | 41c | 10,000$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.98 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Utah | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,199.94 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd974…dddbbacked Utah | 41c | 9,400$3,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 9,366$5,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.19 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 8,995$5,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,867.85 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Maple Leafs | 72c | 8,237$5,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.7 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 7,701$4,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,234.42 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…abf7backed Maple Leafs | 53c | 7,596$4,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,570.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…a318backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,075 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 6,966$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.91 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Utah | 41c | 6,900$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,829 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 6,205$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.55 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed6…49a1backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 6,000$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fab…1082backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 5,932$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Utah | 43c | 5,814$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Utah | 42c | 5,691$2,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.22 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 5,675$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,403.61 | 135 | 51.1%69 W · 66 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 5,621$3,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360.69 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 5,263$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,263.16 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x365e…ef38backed Utah | 47c | 5,200$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 5,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -11.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 4,634$3,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158.62 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…e168backed Utah | 42c | 4,500$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b67…de0cbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 4,500$2,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 4,435$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,818.51 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef66…32efbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 4,400$2,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,847.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 4,386$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.96 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 4,300$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,867.04 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b6d6backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 4,200$2,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…22f9backed Utah | 42c | 4,200$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…8689backed Utah | 42c | 4,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…cbdbbacked Maple Leafs | 59c | 4,000$2,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Utah | 41c | 4,000$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 3,600$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 3,570$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.8 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 3,500$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,448 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Utah | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 3,363$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.72 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 3,242$1,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,370.22 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Utah | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,986$1,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.21 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 2,898$2,162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.22 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Maple Leafs | 75c | 2,849$2,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.15 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,839$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.29 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Maple Leafs | 75c | 2,816$2,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.81 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 2,795$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,202.64 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,500$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,050 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,500$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,090 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,432$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.43 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…22d0backed Utah | 47c | 2,410$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Utah | 43c | 2,400$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,360$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.2 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Utah | 33c | 2,262$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.64 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1199…0622backed Utah | 42c | 2,119$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,112$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$929.12 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Utah | 50c | 2,050$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.5 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…2890backed Utah | 42c | 2,033$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$853.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Maple Leafs | 56c | 2,000$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Utah | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfece…940bbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Utah | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x618d…aadcbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,827$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.58 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22af…ca2fbacked Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,810$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491e…bb0bbacked Utah | 43c | 1,810$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…d255backed Utah | 42c | 1,780$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.6 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,764$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.06 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Maple Leafs | 57c | 1,535$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.03 | 164 | 47.6%78 W · 86 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Maple Leafs | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Utah | 43c | 1,477$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.05 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Maple Leafs | 58c | 1,466$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78f…0463backed Utah | 41c | 1,463$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Utah vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Spread: Maple Leafs (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
- Utah vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.