Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4bfb21264493eb8885035e55508c1d26d0a3dc1802e1b31083f09c0eedd0120
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,731
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $303,418
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,731 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 384 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed Yes | 73c | 32,754$23,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,845.95 | 184 | 25%46 W · 138 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed Yes | 51c | 26,320$13,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,977.71 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 44c | 24,471$10,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,683.53 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 52c | 12,049$6,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,804.96 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b44…264ebacked Yes | 31c | 8,588$2,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,885.71 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +7.5wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…fb82backed No | 4c | 8,475$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.89 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Yes | 40c | 7,230$2,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,309.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4221…7364backed No | 2c | 6,568$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.78 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9373…9014backed No | 1c | 6,033$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7999…1d86backed No | 5c | 6,014$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e59…a17cbacked No | 69c | 5,221$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,595.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 32c | 4,633$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.82 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 66c | 4,180$2,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,409.54 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42fa…4165backed No | 74c | 4,054$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 4,010$2,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,833.99 | 696 | 34.9%243 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…21bbbacked No | 46c | 4,000$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,840 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8795…7544backed Yes | 64c | 3,455$2,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.68 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78e4…0659backed No | 64c | 3,131$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 1c | 3,018$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 165 | 35.8%59 W · 106 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes | 36c | 2,918$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,864.21 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 80c | 2,758$2,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.89 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 32c | 2,659$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,809.06 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…f944backed No | 72c | 2,613$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf13…0a9abacked No | 19c | 2,612$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Yes | 48c | 2,500$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298.57 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 74c | 2,495$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad7d…f545backed No | 3c | 2,120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 29c | 2,115$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.44 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a8…6d0abacked No | 41c | 2,112$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc74…216cbacked No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,440 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.9wins | -0.43per pick | 65cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed Yes | 44c | 1,888$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.66 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 77c | 1,818$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.16 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,776$1,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.81 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…3464backed No | 73c | 1,675$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x506d…6654backed No | 65c | 1,544$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 30c | 1,468$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.31 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed No | 29c | 1,462$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.61 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 73c | 1,460$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.84 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb12…afb2backed No | 60c | 1,329$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f7…e077backed No | 38c | 1,302$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Yes | 78c | 1,277$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.21 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x517f…e7a8backed No | 13c | 1,242$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…3005backed No | 17c | 1,167$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 40c | 1,115$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.47 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 21c | 1,065$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.02 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdce9…d940backed No | 11c | 1,056$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…13bbbacked No | 59c | 1,013$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 10c | 1,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed No | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Yes | 25c | 998.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.22 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked Yes | 76c | 904.12$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.76 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 1c | 900.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 24c | 899.39$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 34 | 17.6%6 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed Yes | 40c | 898$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 35c | 858.82$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.23 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 37c | 839.11$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.36 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…7014backed No | 56c | 839$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.05 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed Yes | 30c | 810.35$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.25 | 378 | 44.4%168 W · 210 L | +33.3wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +64.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64a1…dc32backed No | 13c | 761.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…35a9backed No | 20c | 758.18$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cd…f1f7backed No | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d4…0065backed No | 27c | 745$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 70c | 705.59$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.32 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 57c | 686.43$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.3 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked No | 3c | 668.18$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 654.58$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.62 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8319…73acbacked No | 59c | 650.56$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 65c | 649.99$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.05 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 64c | 626.04$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 72c | 620.91$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.3 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 8c | 606.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.58 | 110 | 10%11 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 16c | 603.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.53 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…2752backed No | 58c | 602.44$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c37…92a4backed No | 69c | 600$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x073e…74c0backed No | 54c | 597.15$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…ae93backed No | 17c | 589.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -62.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 72c | 581.62$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf5f…f981backed No | 59c | 580.28$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.03 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac95…df88backed No | 71c | 577.05$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed Yes | 52c | 573.28$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…e3edbacked No | 18c | 570.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…f107backed Yes | 54c | 552.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 15c | 543.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.16 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd805…a860backed No | 75c | 531.79$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb1…3b2dbacked No | 22c | 519.67$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.13 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +7.8wins | +0.22per pick | 15cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xad39…1ac2backed No | 8c | 509.53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 5c | 500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb06d…cadabacked No | 46c | 499.24$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 77c | 487.25$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.18 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 18c | 480$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.7 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed No | 64c | 472.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8152…bfdabacked No | 73c | 444.84$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.29 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked No | 72c | 425.59$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.42 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 42cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f54…dfbabacked No | 18c | 424.56$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8393…f0aebacked No | 71c | 422.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…b4a8backed No | 40c | 420.84$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…24debacked No | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2674…b230backed No | 74c | 401.09$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.