Serie A · resolved market
Will Verona vs. Inter end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a564b711f46707db7da9f9f4428bb5d1390dd5deb1c05d9ff24d6353ceb28c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,028
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,776
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,028 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 80c | 6,000$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 210 | 58.6%123 W · 87 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 2c | 5,744$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.88 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +8.7wins | +0.24per pick | 15cpaid | +1,305.2%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 2,866$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.73 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 45c | 2,679$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.41 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 48c | 2,586$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.85 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ce2abacked Yes | 20c | 1,946$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.18 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 33c | 1,877$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,253.08 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 20c | 1,505$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 1,487$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.17 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed Yes | 20c | 1,450$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 48c | 1,045$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 68 | 22.1%15 W · 53 L | -7.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 70c | 994.6$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.22 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Yes | 69c | 638.48$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 583.36$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.24 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27d5…178fbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aba…00d8backed Yes | 19c | 470$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e5…f3ebbacked Yes | 61c | 453.98$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf0…c907backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Yes | 52c | 401.92$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…3432backed Yes | 52c | 357.08$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.4wins | -0.42per pick | 54cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3b…b968backed Yes | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 31c | 258.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 248 | 49.2%122 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 46c | 241.61$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.52 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 80c | 200$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1018…7264backed No | 34c | 192.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.19 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aef…9d05backed Yes | 20c | 157.14$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.18per pick | 25cpaid | -73.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…70e5backed Yes | 30c | 129.04$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 65c | 120.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cba…c616backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x781b…addebacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked Yes | 37c | 83.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4417…8d57backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.28per pick | 45cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9760…1054backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 30c | 67.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked Yes | 68c | 65.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861c…e87abacked Yes | 70c | 63.64$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe391…b6eabacked Yes | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01c…0f0fbacked Yes | 55c | 54.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded7…1ef1backed Yes | 30c | 53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 65cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…cdc6backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…6f52backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1e94backed Yes | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68db…ee32backed Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c0…e18fbacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 44c | 43.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…fa9fbacked Yes | 74c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0463…e0d9backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 156 | 35.9%56 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x619f…fc43backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…cd1ebacked Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…a7b5backed Yes | 58c | 24.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4242…f42ebacked Yes | 68c | 22.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dcf…9bb1backed Yes | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…0aa7backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Verona vs. Inter end in a draw?this page
- Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
- Will Verona win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.